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¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 30 de marzo al 1 de abril de 2026?

Market icon

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 30 de marzo al 1 de abril de 2026?

65-89 39%

40-64 24%

90-114 24%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,758 Vol.

65-89 39%

40-64 24%

90-114 24%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,758 Vol.

<40

$1,291 Vol.

4%

40-64

$618 Vol.

24%

65-89

$675 Vol.

39%

90-114

$476 Vol.

24%

115-139

$718 Vol.

10%

140-164

$954 Vol.

3%

165-189

$1,091 Vol.

1%

190-214

$1,904 Vol.

1%

215-239

$5,235 Vol.

<1%

Más de 240

$4,795 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 30 de marzo al 1 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "65-89" con 39%, seguido de "40-64" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 30 de marzo al 1 de abril de 2026?" ha generado $17.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 30 de marzo al 1 de abril de 2026?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 30 de marzo al 1 de abril de 2026?" es "65-89" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "40-64" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 30 de marzo al 1 de abril de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.