Market icon
Tech·Manzana

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Market icon
Tech·Manzana

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Mar 31

Mar 31

Claude by Anthropic 86%

MLB 41%

Threads 11.1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire 11.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude by Anthropic 86%

MLB 41%

Threads 11.1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire 11.1%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

Claude by Anthropic

$2 Vol.

86%

Market icon

MLB

$0 Vol.

41%

Market icon

Threads

$6 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$6 Vol.

11%

Market icon

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

MyTSA

$2 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Google

$380 Vol.

7%

Market icon

NCAA March Madness Live

$5 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Google Gemini

$6 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic (84.5% implied probability) to claim the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its recent surge past ChatGPT to briefly hit #1 earlier this month amid user defections from OpenAI's app due to reported backlash and service issues. Currently ranked #2 behind ChatGPT, Claude's mobile AI chatbot has seen downloads spike 50%+ in late February, fueled by features like seamless memory migration prompts and strong iOS/Android performance, solidifying its competitive edge in the AI assistant category. ChatGPT holds 40% odds as a close contender for slippage, while lower probabilities for NCAA March Madness Live (9%) and Threads (9%) stem from peaking tournament viewership and social platform buzz, though neither has disrupted the AI dominance atop charts yet; Elite Eight games could catalyze a late shift.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic (84.5% implied probability) to claim the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its recent surge past ChatGPT to briefly hit #1 earlier this month amid user defections from OpenAI's app due to reported backlash and service issues. Currently ranked #2 behind ChatGPT, Claude's mobile AI chatbot has seen downloads spike 50%+ in late February, fueled by features like seamless memory migration prompts and strong iOS/Android performance, solidifying its competitive edge in the AI assistant category. ChatGPT holds 40% odds as a close contender for slippage, while lower probabilities for NCAA March Madness Live (9%) and Threads (9%) stem from peaking tournament viewership and social platform buzz, though neither has disrupted the AI dominance atop charts yet; Elite Eight games could catalyze a late shift.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic (84.5% implied probability) to claim the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its recent surge past ChatGPT to briefly hit #1 earlier this month amid user defections from OpenAI's app due to reported backlash and service issues. Currently ranked #2 behind ChatGPT, Claude's mobile AI chatbot has seen downloads spike 50%+ in late February, fueled by features like seamless memory migration prompts and strong iOS/Android performance, solidifying its competitive edge in the AI assistant category. ChatGPT holds 40% odds as a close contender for slippage, while lower probabilities for NCAA March Madness Live (9%) and Threads (9%) stem from peaking tournament viewership and social platform buzz, though neither has disrupted the AI dominance atop charts yet; Elite Eight games could catalyze a late shift.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic (84.5% implied probability) to claim the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, reflecting its recent surge past ChatGPT to briefly hit #1 earlier this month amid user defections from OpenAI's app due to reported backlash and service issues. Currently ranked #2 behind ChatGPT, Claude's mobile AI chatbot has seen downloads spike 50%+ in late February, fueled by features like seamless memory migration prompts and strong iOS/Android performance, solidifying its competitive edge in the AI assistant category. ChatGPT holds 40% odds as a close contender for slippage, while lower probabilities for NCAA March Madness Live (9%) and Threads (9%) stem from peaking tournament viewership and social platform buzz, though neither has disrupted the AI dominance atop charts yet; Elite Eight games could catalyze a late shift.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Claude by Anthropic" con 86%, seguido de "MLB" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 86¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" es "Claude by Anthropic" con 86%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "MLB" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.