Gpt predicciones y probabilidades

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ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

56%

February 28

$4.3k Vol.

$8.5k Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

¿Interrupción completa de ChatGPT antes del 28 de febrero?

¿Interrupción completa de ChatGPT antes del 28 de febrero?

5%

$2.1k Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

Ends in 14 days

¿Qué empresa tiene el segundo mejor modelo de IA a finales de junio?
GptIA

¿Qué empresa tiene el segundo mejor modelo de IA a finales de junio?

33%

Google

$58.6k Vol.

$74.7k Liq.

51

Ends in 5 months

¿Valoración de OpenAI de $ 1T+ en 2026?
GptIA

¿Valoración de OpenAI de $ 1T+ en 2026?

34%

$1.9k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

¿OpenAI lanzará una red social en 2026?
GptIA

¿OpenAI lanzará una red social en 2026?

29%

$930 Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 5 active markets for Gpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like "ChatGPT Outage by...?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "¿Valoración de OpenAI de $ 1T+ en 2026?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "¿Qué empresa tiene el segundo mejor modelo de IA a finales de junio?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "¿Qué empresa tiene el segundo mejor modelo de IA a finales de junio?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 33% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.