OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform has maintained strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with official status records showing 99.67% uptime for ChatGPT components through mid-month and only brief, non-systemic elevated-error events on August 11, 13, and 18 that resolved within hours without qualifying as full outages. The most recent significant disruption occurred on July 25, when a multi-hour global incident hit ChatGPT, the API, and Codex simultaneously, but subsequent weeks have seen no comparable strain from demand spikes, model releases, or infrastructure issues. Traders view the remaining 12 days before August 31 as low-risk given OpenAI’s recent scaling improvements for large language models, the absence of announced major updates or regulatory events, and the platform’s track record of containing free-tier glitches. This consensus underpins the 86.5% market-implied probability of no full outage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
8% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
Sí
8% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform has maintained strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with official status records showing 99.67% uptime for ChatGPT components through mid-month and only brief, non-systemic elevated-error events on August 11, 13, and 18 that resolved within hours without qualifying as full outages. The most recent significant disruption occurred on July 25, when a multi-hour global incident hit ChatGPT, the API, and Codex simultaneously, but subsequent weeks have seen no comparable strain from demand spikes, model releases, or infrastructure issues. Traders view the remaining 12 days before August 31 as low-risk given OpenAI’s recent scaling improvements for large language models, the absence of announced major updates or regulatory events, and the platform’s track record of containing free-tier glitches. This consensus underpins the 86.5% market-implied probability of no full outage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Volumen
$6,550Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform has maintained strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with official status records showing 99.67% uptime for ChatGPT components through mid-month and only brief, non-systemic elevated-error events on August 11, 13, and 18 that resolved within hours without qualifying as full outages. The most recent significant disruption occurred on July 25, when a multi-hour global incident hit ChatGPT, the API, and Codex simultaneously, but subsequent weeks have seen no comparable strain from demand spikes, model releases, or infrastructure issues. Traders view the remaining 12 days before August 31 as low-risk given OpenAI’s recent scaling improvements for large language models, the absence of announced major updates or regulatory events, and the platform’s track record of containing free-tier glitches. This consensus underpins the 86.5% market-implied probability of no full outage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,550Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform has maintained strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with official status records showing 99.67% uptime for ChatGPT components through mid-month and only brief, non-systemic elevated-error events on August 11, 13, and 18 that resolved within hours without qualifying as full outages. The most recent significant disruption occurred on July 25, when a multi-hour global incident hit ChatGPT, the API, and Codex simultaneously, but subsequent weeks have seen no comparable strain from demand spikes, model releases, or infrastructure issues. Traders view the remaining 12 days before August 31 as low-risk given OpenAI’s recent scaling improvements for large language models, the absence of announced major updates or regulatory events, and the platform’s track record of containing free-tier glitches. This consensus underpins the 86.5% market-implied probability of no full outage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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