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¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?

Market icon

¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?

May 31

May 31

NEW
May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$175 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$257 Vol.

84%

30 de abril

$214 Vol.

93%

31 de mayo

$425 Vol.

92%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader sentiment in the "Another 7.0 or above earthquake" market hinges on global seismic patterns, with recent activity underscoring the Pacific Ring of Fire's volatility. A 7.1 magnitude quake hit near the Mariana Islands on October 1, 2024, after a 7.0 off Alaska on September 11 and a 7.2 in northern Chile on August 12—aligning with the USGS average of 15-20 such events yearly. No advanced predictions exist, as earthquakes defy precise forecasting, but heightened monitoring in Japan and Indonesia follows aftershock sequences from earlier tremors. Key to watch: real-time USGS alerts and tectonic strain in subduction zones, as the market nears its deadline amid steady baseline risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$175
Fecha de finalización
May 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader sentiment in the "Another 7.0 or above earthquake" market hinges on global seismic patterns, with recent activity underscoring the Pacific Ring of Fire's volatility. A 7.1 magnitude quake hit near the Mariana Islands on October 1, 2024, after a 7.0 off Alaska on September 11 and a 7.2 in northern Chile on August 12—aligning with the USGS average of 15-20 such events yearly. No advanced predictions exist, as earthquakes defy precise forecasting, but heightened monitoring in Japan and Indonesia follows aftershock sequences from earlier tremors. Key to watch: real-time USGS alerts and tectonic strain in subduction zones, as the market nears its deadline amid steady baseline risk.

Trader sentiment in the "Another 7.0 or above earthquake" market hinges on global seismic patterns, with recent activity underscoring the Pacific Ring of Fire's volatility. A 7.1 magnitude quake hit near the Mariana Islands on October 1, 2024, after a 7.0 off Alaska on September 11 and a 7.2 in northern Chile on August 12—aligning with the USGS average of 15-20 such events yearly. No advanced predictions exist, as earthquakes defy precise forecasting, but heightened monitoring in Japan and Indonesia follows aftershock sequences from earlier tremors. Key to watch: real-time USGS alerts and tectonic strain in subduction zones, as the market nears its deadline amid steady baseline risk.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 93%, seguido de "31 de mayo" con 92%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?" es "30 de abril" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de mayo" con 92%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.