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¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?

Market icon

¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$872 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$33 Vol.

8%

30 de junio

$859 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the company behind Truth Social, fueled trader optimism with reports of developing a Trump-branded Android smartphone called the T1 Phone, priced around $499 as an affordable alternative to Big Tech devices amid ongoing antitrust scrutiny of Apple and Google. Industry sources confirmed prototype work is progressing, positioning it as a politically charged entry into the saturated mobile market dominated by Samsung and iPhone. No official release timeline has been announced, leaving uncertainty around manufacturing partners, FCC certifications, and supply chain hurdles. Traders eye potential pre-order buzz or formal specs reveal in early 2025 as key catalysts, while historical delays in celebrity-branded tech ventures temper expectations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$872
Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the company behind Truth Social, fueled trader optimism with reports of developing a Trump-branded Android smartphone called the T1 Phone, priced around $499 as an affordable alternative to Big Tech devices amid ongoing antitrust scrutiny of Apple and Google. Industry sources confirmed prototype work is progressing, positioning it as a politically charged entry into the saturated mobile market dominated by Samsung and iPhone. No official release timeline has been announced, leaving uncertainty around manufacturing partners, FCC certifications, and supply chain hurdles. Traders eye potential pre-order buzz or formal specs reveal in early 2025 as key catalysts, while historical delays in celebrity-branded tech ventures temper expectations.

Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the company behind Truth Social, fueled trader optimism with reports of developing a Trump-branded Android smartphone called the T1 Phone, priced around $499 as an affordable alternative to Big Tech devices amid ongoing antitrust scrutiny of Apple and Google. Industry sources confirmed prototype work is progressing, positioning it as a politically charged entry into the saturated mobile market dominated by Samsung and iPhone. No official release timeline has been announced, leaving uncertainty around manufacturing partners, FCC certifications, and supply chain hurdles. Traders eye potential pre-order buzz or formal specs reveal in early 2025 as key catalysts, while historical delays in celebrity-branded tech ventures temper expectations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 32%, seguido de "30 de abril" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 32¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" es "30 de junio" con 32%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 32% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de abril" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.