Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 60.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official casting announcement for Bond 26 despite five years since Daniel Craig's exit in No Time to Die. Amazon MGM Studios and producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson continue scripting with Steven Knight, while director Denis Villeneuve eyes an "unknown" British actor post-Dune: Part Three, prolonging the search amid the franchise's longest production gap. Callum Turner leads contenders at 12.5% on unverified reports labeling his casting a "worst-kept secret," bolstered by recent betting odds; Jacob Elordi (7.9%) and Theo James (5.3%) gain from rising profiles in Saltburn and The White Lotus, though Aaron Taylor-Johnson's persistent rumors (3.5%) faded after evasive red-carpet responses. Mid-2026 casting rumors could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
Ningún James Bond elegido 61%
Callum Turner 13%
Jacob Elordi 8.0%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.6%
$1,748,325 Vol.
$1,748,325 Vol.
Ningún James Bond elegido
61%
Callum Turner
13%
Jacob Elordi
8%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
4%
Theo James
10%
Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton
2%
Henry Cavill
2%
Paul Mescal
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Harris Dickinson
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Ningún James Bond elegido 61%
Callum Turner 13%
Jacob Elordi 8.0%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.6%
$1,748,325 Vol.
$1,748,325 Vol.
Ningún James Bond elegido
61%
Callum Turner
13%
Jacob Elordi
8%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
4%
Theo James
10%
Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton
2%
Henry Cavill
2%
Paul Mescal
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Harris Dickinson
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 60.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official casting announcement for Bond 26 despite five years since Daniel Craig's exit in No Time to Die. Amazon MGM Studios and producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson continue scripting with Steven Knight, while director Denis Villeneuve eyes an "unknown" British actor post-Dune: Part Three, prolonging the search amid the franchise's longest production gap. Callum Turner leads contenders at 12.5% on unverified reports labeling his casting a "worst-kept secret," bolstered by recent betting odds; Jacob Elordi (7.9%) and Theo James (5.3%) gain from rising profiles in Saltburn and The White Lotus, though Aaron Taylor-Johnson's persistent rumors (3.5%) faded after evasive red-carpet responses. Mid-2026 casting rumors could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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