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¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

Market icon

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

Ningún James Bond elegido 61%

Callum Turner 13%

Theo James 8.1%

Jacob Elordi 5.1%

Polymarket

$1,752,278 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido 61%

Callum Turner 13%

Theo James 8.1%

Jacob Elordi 5.1%

Polymarket

$1,752,278 Vol.

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Ningún James Bond elegido

$247,942 Vol.

61%

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Callum Turner

$112,309 Vol.

13%

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Theo James

$26,447 Vol.

8%

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Jacob Elordi

$231,954 Vol.

5%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$97,589 Vol.

3%

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Henry Cavill

$239,383 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton

$108,365 Vol.

2%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy

$75,468 Vol.

1%

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Paul Mescal

$96,126 Vol.

1%

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Jack Lowdon

$82,571 Vol.

<1%

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Harris Dickinson

$141,508 Vol.

<1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$176,087 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Holland

$67,119 Vol.

<1%

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Josh O'Connor

$27,357 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$22,055 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 60.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in casting James Bond 26 amid ongoing script revisions by Steven Knight, who confirmed work without a lead actor in mind as recently as late March. Rising star Callum Turner holds second at 13%, buoyed by February Berlinale buzz where he coyly addressed frontrunner status and a mid-March Polymarket odds surge doubling his share on rumor momentum from Denis Villeneuve's potential direction. Theo James climbed to 8.1% after a high-profile March 27 Fuze premiere reunion with Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.3%), resurfacing their action-hero credentials, while Jacob Elordi's 5.1% stems from January screen-test whispers. With no guild precursors or official tests confirmed, traders eye mid-2026 announcements as the key catalyst before production ramps.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,752,278
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 60.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate pace in casting James Bond 26 amid ongoing script revisions by Steven Knight, who confirmed work without a lead actor in mind as recently as late March. Rising star Callum Turner holds second at 13%, buoyed by February Berlinale buzz where he coyly addressed frontrunner status and a mid-March Polymarket odds surge doubling his share on rumor momentum from Denis Villeneuve's potential direction. Theo James climbed to 8.1% after a high-profile March 27 Fuze premiere reunion with Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.3%), resurfacing their action-hero credentials, while Jacob Elordi's 5.1% stems from January screen-test whispers. With no guild precursors or official tests confirmed, traders eye mid-2026 announcements as the key catalyst before production ramps.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,752,278
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 61%, seguido de "Callum Turner" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" ha generado $1.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Callum Turner" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.