Avengers: Doomsday holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by Marvel Studios' unmatched track record—Infinity War and Endgame each debuted over $250 million domestically—and surging hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom reveal and the Russo brothers' return at San Diego Comic-Con. Recent MCU box office triumphs like Deadpool & Wolverine's record $211 million start have solidified trader consensus on its May 1 prime positioning, outpacing rivals. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 11% reflects Spider-Man's billion-dollar franchise pull but later July slot risks. Dune: Messiah, Toy Story 5, and The Odyssey linger below 3% amid historical patterns favoring superhero spectacles over sci-fi epics or animated fare. Trailer drops and presales will be key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué película tiene el mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
¿Qué película tiene el mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 11%
Dune: Messiah 2.3%
Toy Story 5 2.1%
$1,020,496 Vol.
$1,020,496 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
11%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Toy Story 5
2%
La Odisea
2%
Michael
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
<1%
Scream 7
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 11%
Dune: Messiah 2.3%
Toy Story 5 2.1%
$1,020,496 Vol.
$1,020,496 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$90,235 Vol.
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$26,768 Vol.
11%
Dune: Messiah
$81,293 Vol.
2%
Toy Story 5
$173,886 Vol.
2%
La Odisea
$0 Vol.
2%
Michael
$482,805 Vol.
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$0 Vol.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$0 Vol.
<1%
Proyecto Hail Mary
$0 Vol.
<1%
Scream 7
$42,654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by Marvel Studios' unmatched track record—Infinity War and Endgame each debuted over $250 million domestically—and surging hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom reveal and the Russo brothers' return at San Diego Comic-Con. Recent MCU box office triumphs like Deadpool & Wolverine's record $211 million start have solidified trader consensus on its May 1 prime positioning, outpacing rivals. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 11% reflects Spider-Man's billion-dollar franchise pull but later July slot risks. Dune: Messiah, Toy Story 5, and The Odyssey linger below 3% amid historical patterns favoring superhero spectacles over sci-fi epics or animated fare. Trailer drops and presales will be key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,020,496Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by Marvel Studios' unmatched track record—Infinity War and Endgame each debuted over $250 million domestically—and surging hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom reveal and the Russo brothers' return at San Diego Comic-Con. Recent MCU box office triumphs like Deadpool & Wolverine's record $211 million start have solidified trader consensus on its May 1 prime positioning, outpacing rivals. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 11% reflects Spider-Man's billion-dollar franchise pull but later July slot risks. Dune: Messiah, Toy Story 5, and The Odyssey linger below 3% amid historical patterns favoring superhero spectacles over sci-fi epics or animated fare. Trailer drops and presales will be key catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,020,496Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday holds a dominant 72.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by Marvel Studios' unmatched track record—Infinity War and Endgame each debuted over $250 million domestically—and surging hype from Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom reveal and the Russo brothers' return at San Diego Comic-Con. Recent MCU box office triumphs like Deadpool & Wolverine's record $211 million start have solidified trader consensus on its May 1 prime positioning, outpacing rivals. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 11% reflects Spider-Man's billion-dollar franchise pull but later July slot risks. Dune: Messiah, Toy Story 5, and The Odyssey linger below 3% amid historical patterns favoring superhero spectacles over sci-fi epics or animated fare. Trailer drops and presales will be key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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