Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein's New York retrials, including the May 2026 deadlock on the remaining rape charge, have solidified trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. The disgraced producer, now 74 and battling health issues, already holds a 16-year California sentence under appeal, while a 2025 New York conviction on a lesser count carries its own sentencing uncertainties. Prosecutors face decisions on further proceedings amid his advanced age and documented medical conditions, reducing the likelihood of meaningful new prison time. Upcoming hearings and appeal outcomes remain key swing factors in this high-uncertainty legal saga.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 74.0%
<5 años 9.3%
20-30 años 7.4%
10-20 años 5.4%
$1,054,375 Vol.
$1,054,375 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
74%
<5 años
9%
5-10 años
3%
10-20 años
5%
20-30 años
7%
Más de 30 años
3%
Sin tiempo en prisión 74.0%
<5 años 9.3%
20-30 años 7.4%
10-20 años 5.4%
$1,054,375 Vol.
$1,054,375 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$368,747 Vol.
74%
<5 años
$138,454 Vol.
9%
5-10 años
$88,045 Vol.
3%
10-20 años
$167,335 Vol.
5%
20-30 años
$210,471 Vol.
7%
Más de 30 años
$81,322 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein's New York retrials, including the May 2026 deadlock on the remaining rape charge, have solidified trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. The disgraced producer, now 74 and battling health issues, already holds a 16-year California sentence under appeal, while a 2025 New York conviction on a lesser count carries its own sentencing uncertainties. Prosecutors face decisions on further proceedings amid his advanced age and documented medical conditions, reducing the likelihood of meaningful new prison time. Upcoming hearings and appeal outcomes remain key swing factors in this high-uncertainty legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$1,054,375Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein's New York retrials, including the May 2026 deadlock on the remaining rape charge, have solidified trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. The disgraced producer, now 74 and battling health issues, already holds a 16-year California sentence under appeal, while a 2025 New York conviction on a lesser count carries its own sentencing uncertainties. Prosecutors face decisions on further proceedings amid his advanced age and documented medical conditions, reducing the likelihood of meaningful new prison time. Upcoming hearings and appeal outcomes remain key swing factors in this high-uncertainty legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,054,375Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein's New York retrials, including the May 2026 deadlock on the remaining rape charge, have solidified trader consensus around limited additional incarceration. The disgraced producer, now 74 and battling health issues, already holds a 16-year California sentence under appeal, while a 2025 New York conviction on a lesser count carries its own sentencing uncertainties. Prosecutors face decisions on further proceedings amid his advanced age and documented medical conditions, reducing the likelihood of meaningful new prison time. Upcoming hearings and appeal outcomes remain key swing factors in this high-uncertainty legal saga.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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