Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 32.4%
20-30 años 31.8%
10-20 años 15.6%
Más de 30 años 7.6%
$911,691 Vol.
$911,691 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
32%
<5 años
6%
5-10 años
5%
10-20 años
16%
20-30 años
32%
Más de 30 años
8%
Sin tiempo en prisión 32.4%
20-30 años 31.8%
10-20 años 15.6%
Más de 30 años 7.6%
$911,691 Vol.
$911,691 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$327,744 Vol.
32%
<5 años
$118,752 Vol.
6%
5-10 años
$69,253 Vol.
5%
10-20 años
$146,873 Vol.
16%
20-30 años
$185,639 Vol.
32%
Más de 30 años
$63,435 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$911,691Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$911,691Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, pitting "No Prison Time" at 32.4% against "20-30 years" at 31.8%, driven by week-two testimony from accuser Jessica Mann revealing a newly disclosed phone note expressing her emotional attachment post-2013 incident—potentially bolstering defense claims of a complex relationship amid power dynamics. This echoes the 2025 mistrial on the same third-degree rape charge after a split verdict on a separate sexual assault conviction, while his 16-year California sentence faces a skeptical appeal. With closing arguments imminent by mid-May and sentencing to dictate resolution by July 31 (or "No Prison Time" default), Weinstein's age, frail health, and prior plea considerations heighten volatility in this #MeToo landmark case.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes