Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison term, with 20-30 years edging out no prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial on a 2013 third-degree charge against Jessica Mann, which began jury selection April 14 after a 2025 mistrial. He serves a firm 16-year California rape sentence from 2023—consecutive to any New York time—but appeals both alongside a pending sexual assault conviction from that retrial, with no sentencing date set. Deteriorating health at age 74, including leukemia and wheelchair use, fuels no-prison odds via potential compassionate release or time-served credits since 2018, while a guilty verdict could push totals higher; key swings hinge on trial outcome in coming weeks and appeals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
20-30 años 32.8%
Sin tiempo en prisión 31.6%
10-20 años 13.0%
Más de 30 años 9.3%
$912,455 Vol.
$912,455 Vol.
Sin tiempo en prisión
32%
<5 años
8%
5-10 años
4%
10-20 años
13%
20-30 años
33%
Más de 30 años
9%
20-30 años 32.8%
Sin tiempo en prisión 31.6%
10-20 años 13.0%
Más de 30 años 9.3%
$912,455 Vol.
$912,455 Vol.
Sin tiempo en prisión
32%
<5 años
8%
5-10 años
4%
10-20 años
13%
20-30 años
33%
Más de 30 años
9%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison term, with 20-30 years edging out no prison time amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial on a 2013 third-degree charge against Jessica Mann, which began jury selection April 14 after a 2025 mistrial. He serves a firm 16-year California rape sentence from 2023—consecutive to any New York time—but appeals both alongside a pending sexual assault conviction from that retrial, with no sentencing date set. Deteriorating health at age 74, including leukemia and wheelchair use, fuels no-prison odds via potential compassionate release or time-served credits since 2018, while a guilty verdict could push totals higher; key swings hinge on trial outcome in coming weeks and appeals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes