Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested after his September 12 New York sentencing to 23 years for a third-degree criminal sexual act conviction—running concurrently with his 16-year California term—yet appeals in both states keep shorter or no imprisonment viable. Recent health crises, including hospitalizations and over 100 pounds lost since 2020, have lifted "No Prison Time" to 26.4%, fueling compassionate release speculation amid his age 72 frailty. Mid-range outcomes like 10-20 years lead at 31.4% on upheld convictions and time served, but new November 2024 sex assault charges could extend liability. Key differentiators: appeal rulings expected 2025 and parole eligibility, underscoring legal unpredictability in the #MeToo accountability era.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 27.6%
10-20 años 24.6%
20-30 años 21.5%
5-10 años 6.7%
$682,146 Vol.
$682,146 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
28%
<5 años
7%
5-10 años
7%
10-20 años
25%
20-30 años
22%
Más de 30 años
5%
Sin tiempo en prisión 27.6%
10-20 años 24.6%
20-30 años 21.5%
5-10 años 6.7%
$682,146 Vol.
$682,146 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$291,935 Vol.
28%
<5 años
$48,797 Vol.
7%
5-10 años
$34,769 Vol.
7%
10-20 años
$120,954 Vol.
25%
20-30 años
$151,161 Vol.
22%
Más de 30 años
$34,530 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested after his September 12 New York sentencing to 23 years for a third-degree criminal sexual act conviction—running concurrently with his 16-year California term—yet appeals in both states keep shorter or no imprisonment viable. Recent health crises, including hospitalizations and over 100 pounds lost since 2020, have lifted "No Prison Time" to 26.4%, fueling compassionate release speculation amid his age 72 frailty. Mid-range outcomes like 10-20 years lead at 31.4% on upheld convictions and time served, but new November 2024 sex assault charges could extend liability. Key differentiators: appeal rulings expected 2025 and parole eligibility, underscoring legal unpredictability in the #MeToo accountability era.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$682,146Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested after his September 12 New York sentencing to 23 years for a third-degree criminal sexual act conviction—running concurrently with his 16-year California term—yet appeals in both states keep shorter or no imprisonment viable. Recent health crises, including hospitalizations and over 100 pounds lost since 2020, have lifted "No Prison Time" to 26.4%, fueling compassionate release speculation amid his age 72 frailty. Mid-range outcomes like 10-20 years lead at 31.4% on upheld convictions and time served, but new November 2024 sex assault charges could extend liability. Key differentiators: appeal rulings expected 2025 and parole eligibility, underscoring legal unpredictability in the #MeToo accountability era.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$682,146Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested after his September 12 New York sentencing to 23 years for a third-degree criminal sexual act conviction—running concurrently with his 16-year California term—yet appeals in both states keep shorter or no imprisonment viable. Recent health crises, including hospitalizations and over 100 pounds lost since 2020, have lifted "No Prison Time" to 26.4%, fueling compassionate release speculation amid his age 72 frailty. Mid-range outcomes like 10-20 years lead at 31.4% on upheld convictions and time served, but new November 2024 sex assault charges could extend liability. Key differentiators: appeal rulings expected 2025 and parole eligibility, underscoring legal unpredictability in the #MeToo accountability era.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes