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icon for ¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?

¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?

icon for ¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?

¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?

Sin tiempo en prisión 100.0%

<5 años <1%

5-10 años <1%

10-20 años <1%

Polymarket

$1,140,813 Vol.

Sin tiempo en prisión 100.0%

<5 años <1%

5-10 años <1%

10-20 años <1%

Polymarket

$1,140,813 Vol.

Sin tiempo en prisión

$397,012 Vol.

Sí

<5 años

$149,024 Vol.

No

5-10 años

$97,919 Vol.

No

10-20 años

$181,925 Vol.

No

20-30 años

$219,610 Vol.

No

Más de 30 años

$95,322 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Harvey Weinstein’s market dominance at 100% implied probability for “No Prison Time” reflects trader assessment of his advanced age (73), documented medical fragility, and six-plus years already served amid repeated New York retrials and appeals. The June 2026 decision by Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg to forgo further prosecution on the Jessica Mann charges, combined with the producer’s California 16-year sentence running consecutively yet facing resentencing proceedings, has reinforced expectations that any additional incarceration will effectively be nullified by health-related release, time served credits, or plea resolutions. Recent court appearances describe Weinstein as frail and wheelchair-bound at Rikers, aligning with historical patterns where elderly defendants in similar cases receive substantial leniency. An upset scenario would require reversal of the dropped charges, new credible allegations advancing to trial before September sentencing, or successful defense appeals restoring full consecutive terms—developments that remain low-probability given current procedural trajectory and precedent.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,140,813
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Harvey Weinstein’s market dominance at 100% implied probability for “No Prison Time” reflects trader assessment of his advanced age (73), documented medical fragility, and six-plus years already served amid repeated New York retrials and appeals. The June 2026 decision by Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg to forgo further prosecution on the Jessica Mann charges, combined with the producer’s California 16-year sentence running consecutively yet facing resentencing proceedings, has reinforced expectations that any additional incarceration will effectively be nullified by health-related release, time served credits, or plea resolutions. Recent court appearances describe Weinstein as frail and wheelchair-bound at Rikers, aligning with historical patterns where elderly defendants in similar cases receive substantial leniency. An upset scenario would require reversal of the dropped charges, new credible allegations advancing to trial before September sentencing, or successful defense appeals restoring full consecutive terms—developments that remain low-probability given current procedural trajectory and precedent.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,140,813
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin tiempo en prisión" con 100%, seguido de "<5 años" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?" es "Sin tiempo en prisión" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<5 años" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.