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¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

Market icon

¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

Avengers: Doomsday 34%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 14%

La Odisea 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,990,576 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

Avengers: Doomsday 34%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 14%

La Odisea 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,990,576 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$124,418 Vol.

40%

Avengers: Doomsday

$187,675 Vol.

34%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy

$114,496 Vol.

14%

La Odisea

$340,043 Vol.

4%

Toy Story 5

$149,549 Vol.

3%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$110,977 Vol.

1%

Dune: Messiah

$202,115 Vol.

1%

Michael

$574,224 Vol.

1%

Proyecto Hail Mary

$181,815 Vol.

1%

Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha

$221,897 Vol.

<1%

Cumbres Borrascosas

$245,123 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$79,302 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$358,188 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$101,318 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 40% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, fueled by its trailer shattering records with over 1 billion views in four days last month, signaling unprecedented presale potential akin to No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul. Avengers: Doomsday trails closely at 33.5%, bolstered by Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom and a prime December 18 holiday slot primed for extended legs, per industry tracking. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's explosive $370 million-plus global opening weekend through April 4 vaults it to 13.5%, eclipsing early-year leaders like Project Hail Mary, yet traders question its family-animation legs amid mixed reviews versus its billion-dollar predecessor. Key swings hinge on Toy Story 5's June premiere and summer competition, with superhero IP dominance and release positioning differentiating frontrunners in this tight box office battle.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$2,990,576
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 40% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, fueled by its trailer shattering records with over 1 billion views in four days last month, signaling unprecedented presale potential akin to No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul. Avengers: Doomsday trails closely at 33.5%, bolstered by Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom and a prime December 18 holiday slot primed for extended legs, per industry tracking. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's explosive $370 million-plus global opening weekend through April 4 vaults it to 13.5%, eclipsing early-year leaders like Project Hail Mary, yet traders question its family-animation legs amid mixed reviews versus its billion-dollar predecessor. Key swings hinge on Toy Story 5's June premiere and summer competition, with superhero IP dominance and release positioning differentiating frontrunners in this tight box office battle.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$2,990,576
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 40%, seguido de "Avengers: Doomsday" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" ha generado $3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Avengers: Doomsday" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.