Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 240-319 posts (over 50% combined) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 7-14, mirroring his recent baseline of roughly 35 tweets per day drawn from March's verified 1,320-1,359 total and resolved weekly markets like March 6-13's 360-379 high and March 27-April 3's 220-279 range. Recent quieter days, including April 2's confirmed 22 posts amid routine updates, have tempered expectations without major dips, while variability stems from unpredictable spikes tied to viral political commentary or company news. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX Falcon 9 launches on April 8, which could drive live engagement, versus lulls if no controversies emerge—highlighting the crowd wisdom in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado280-299 15%
260-279 14%
240-259 13%
300-319 12%
$516,616 Vol.
$516,616 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
13%
260-279
14%
280-299
15%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
2%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
280-299 15%
260-279 14%
240-259 13%
300-319 12%
$516,616 Vol.
$516,616 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
13%
260-279
14%
280-299
15%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
2%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 240-319 posts (over 50% combined) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 7-14, mirroring his recent baseline of roughly 35 tweets per day drawn from March's verified 1,320-1,359 total and resolved weekly markets like March 6-13's 360-379 high and March 27-April 3's 220-279 range. Recent quieter days, including April 2's confirmed 22 posts amid routine updates, have tempered expectations without major dips, while variability stems from unpredictable spikes tied to viral political commentary or company news. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX Falcon 9 launches on April 8, which could drive live engagement, versus lulls if no controversies emerge—highlighting the crowd wisdom in this skin-in-the-game forecast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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