Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 4-6 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent pace of 237 posts over March 27-April 3 (daily average 34) but factoring in likely weekend dips after high-engagement weekdays. The adjacent 40-64 outcome (26.5%) captures quieter scenarios amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss yesterday—358,023 vehicles, up 6% year-over-year yet below estimates, sparking stock volatility and commentary. A pivotal catalyst: Musk's SpaceX Starbase presentation April 4 on Mars ambitions, historically fueling viral post surges and public buzz. Elevated 90-114 odds (22.5%) hedge event momentum, while extremes fade given consistent patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado65-89 37%
40-64 27%
90-114 23%
115-139 9%
NUEVO
$65,881 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,881 Vol.
6 abr 2026
<40
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
37%
90-114
23%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
40-64 27%
90-114 23%
115-139 9%
NUEVO
$65,881 Vol.
NUEVO
$65,881 Vol.
6 abr 2026
<40
$5,484 Vol.
4%
40-64
$2,788 Vol.
27%
65-89
$893 Vol.
37%
90-114
$1,461 Vol.
23%
115-139
$2,146 Vol.
9%
140-164
$3,308 Vol.
2%
165-189
$7,127 Vol.
1%
190-214
$6,016 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$16,614 Vol.
<1%
240+
$20,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 4-6 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent pace of 237 posts over March 27-April 3 (daily average 34) but factoring in likely weekend dips after high-engagement weekdays. The adjacent 40-64 outcome (26.5%) captures quieter scenarios amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss yesterday—358,023 vehicles, up 6% year-over-year yet below estimates, sparking stock volatility and commentary. A pivotal catalyst: Musk's SpaceX Starbase presentation April 4 on Mars ambitions, historically fueling viral post surges and public buzz. Elevated 90-114 odds (22.5%) hedge event momentum, while extremes fade given consistent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volumen
$65,881Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 4-6 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent pace of 237 posts over March 27-April 3 (daily average 34) but factoring in likely weekend dips after high-engagement weekdays. The adjacent 40-64 outcome (26.5%) captures quieter scenarios amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss yesterday—358,023 vehicles, up 6% year-over-year yet below estimates, sparking stock volatility and commentary. A pivotal catalyst: Musk's SpaceX Starbase presentation April 4 on Mars ambitions, historically fueling viral post surges and public buzz. Elevated 90-114 odds (22.5%) hedge event momentum, while extremes fade given consistent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$65,881Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 4-6 at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent pace of 237 posts over March 27-April 3 (daily average 34) but factoring in likely weekend dips after high-engagement weekdays. The adjacent 40-64 outcome (26.5%) captures quieter scenarios amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss yesterday—358,023 vehicles, up 6% year-over-year yet below estimates, sparking stock volatility and commentary. A pivotal catalyst: Musk's SpaceX Starbase presentation April 4 on Mars ambitions, historically fueling viral post surges and public buzz. Elevated 90-114 odds (22.5%) hedge event momentum, while extremes fade given consistent patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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