Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters Elon Musk's projected X posts for March 27-April 3, 2026, around 260-339, with 300-319 leading at 11.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent weekly averages of 250-320 amid steady engagement on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural debates. No developments in the past 48 hours shift this; last week's 289 posts and month-long stability reinforce the tight race, as traders discount extremes absent catalysts like earnings calls or controversies that historically spike volumes over 400. Differentiators include platform algorithm tweaks favoring visibility or election-style fervor, versus quieter phases from travel or focus on ventures—wisdom of crowds prices in these volatile pop culture swings for the far-future timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado300-319 12%
260-279 11%
280-299 11%
320-339 11%
$4,067,301 Vol.
$4,067,301 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
5%
240-259
10%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
10%
360-379
9%
380-399
8%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 12%
260-279 11%
280-299 11%
320-339 11%
$4,067,301 Vol.
$4,067,301 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
5%
240-259
10%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
10%
360-379
9%
380-399
8%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
2%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters Elon Musk's projected X posts for March 27-April 3, 2026, around 260-339, with 300-319 leading at 11.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent weekly averages of 250-320 amid steady engagement on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural debates. No developments in the past 48 hours shift this; last week's 289 posts and month-long stability reinforce the tight race, as traders discount extremes absent catalysts like earnings calls or controversies that historically spike volumes over 400. Differentiators include platform algorithm tweaks favoring visibility or election-style fervor, versus quieter phases from travel or focus on ventures—wisdom of crowds prices in these volatile pop culture swings for the far-future timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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