Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1240-1279 total X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026 (19.1% implied probability), reflecting his blistering pace of 43 posts per day over April 7-14 (298 confirmed via trackers), on track for roughly 1,260 by month's end after mirroring March's 1,320-1,359 tally. Closely matched contenders like 1200-1239 (11.5%) and 1160-1199 (11.4%) highlight uncertainty over whether his frenetic activity—fueled by viral commentary on Grok's top Medicine benchmark, Starlink expansion, South African tensions, and California's anti-fraud bill pushback—sustains amid potential lulls, with 16 days left for news-driven spikes or slowdowns to swing outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1240-1279 19.1%
1200-1239 11.5%
1160-1199 11.4%
1280-1319 11.1%
$7,525,482 Vol.
$7,525,482 Vol.
1 may 2026
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
<1%
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
10%
1160-1199
11%
1200-1239
12%
1240-1279
19%
1280-1319
11%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
5%
1400-1439
4%
1440-1479
3%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1240-1279 19.1%
1200-1239 11.5%
1160-1199 11.4%
1280-1319 11.1%
$7,525,482 Vol.
$7,525,482 Vol.
1 may 2026
520-539
$658,705 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$75,250 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$98,157 Vol.
<1%
580-599
$95,188 Vol.
<1%
600-619
$74,287 Vol.
<1%
620-639
$122,474 Vol.
<1%
640-659
$110,757 Vol.
<1%
660-679
$130,543 Vol.
<1%
680-699
$41,603 Vol.
<1%
700-719
$62,436 Vol.
<1%
720-739
$48,369 Vol.
<1%
740-759
$20,259 Vol.
<1%
760-779
$36,223 Vol.
<1%
780-799
$48,806 Vol.
<1%
800-839
$31,264 Vol.
<1%
840-879
$40,949 Vol.
1%
880-919
$149,910 Vol.
1%
920-959
$45,505 Vol.
<1%
960-999
$34,084 Vol.
<1%
1000-1039
$37,511 Vol.
1%
1040-1079
$89,913 Vol.
2%
1080-1119
$60,445 Vol.
3%
1120-1159
$112,380 Vol.
10%
1160-1199
$274,038 Vol.
11%
1200-1239
$167,425 Vol.
12%
1240-1279
$86,613 Vol.
19%
1280-1319
$170,859 Vol.
11%
1320-1359
$241,177 Vol.
6%
1360-1399
$214,122 Vol.
5%
1400-1439
$517,784 Vol.
4%
1440-1479
$80,256 Vol.
3%
1480-1519
$71,302 Vol.
1%
1520-1559
$87,882 Vol.
1%
1560-1599
$108,040 Vol.
1%
1600-1679
$103,559 Vol.
1%
1680-1759
$141,153 Vol.
1%
1760-1839
$100,127 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$150,442 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$28,497 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$28,343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1240-1279 total X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026 (19.1% implied probability), reflecting his blistering pace of 43 posts per day over April 7-14 (298 confirmed via trackers), on track for roughly 1,260 by month's end after mirroring March's 1,320-1,359 tally. Closely matched contenders like 1200-1239 (11.5%) and 1160-1199 (11.4%) highlight uncertainty over whether his frenetic activity—fueled by viral commentary on Grok's top Medicine benchmark, Starlink expansion, South African tensions, and California's anti-fraud bill pushback—sustains amid potential lulls, with 16 days left for news-driven spikes or slowdowns to swing outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$7,525,482Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1240-1279 total X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026 (19.1% implied probability), reflecting his blistering pace of 43 posts per day over April 7-14 (298 confirmed via trackers), on track for roughly 1,260 by month's end after mirroring March's 1,320-1,359 tally. Closely matched contenders like 1200-1239 (11.5%) and 1160-1199 (11.4%) highlight uncertainty over whether his frenetic activity—fueled by viral commentary on Grok's top Medicine benchmark, Starlink expansion, South African tensions, and California's anti-fraud bill pushback—sustains amid potential lulls, with 16 days left for news-driven spikes or slowdowns to swing outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$7,525,482Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1240-1279 total X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026 (19.1% implied probability), reflecting his blistering pace of 43 posts per day over April 7-14 (298 confirmed via trackers), on track for roughly 1,260 by month's end after mirroring March's 1,320-1,359 tally. Closely matched contenders like 1200-1239 (11.5%) and 1160-1199 (11.4%) highlight uncertainty over whether his frenetic activity—fueled by viral commentary on Grok's top Medicine benchmark, Starlink expansion, South African tensions, and California's anti-fraud bill pushback—sustains amid potential lulls, with 16 days left for news-driven spikes or slowdowns to swing outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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