Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X, with market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (32%) and 90-114 (28.5%) over the March 28-30, 2026 weekend, implying 22-38 posts daily based on his recent averages of 20-40 per day amid ongoing political commentary and Tesla/SpaceX updates. This tight race stems from variability in his activity—spiking during controversies like the 2024 election cycle or product reveals, yet dipping during travel or focus on ventures—creating uncertainty without a clear frontrunner. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like xAI announcements or regulatory news that could drive surges past 114, versus quieter periods under 65; traders eye historical patterns where engagement metrics amplify viral moments, though 2026 baselines remain speculative absent confirmed schedules.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado65-89 32%
90-114 28%
40-64 19%
115-139 13%
NEW
$20,254 Vol.
NEW
$20,254 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
3%
40-64
19%
65-89
32%
90-114
28%
115-139
13%
140-164
6%
165-189
2%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 32%
90-114 28%
40-64 19%
115-139 13%
NEW
$20,254 Vol.
NEW
$20,254 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<40
$3,042 Vol.
3%
40-64
$766 Vol.
19%
65-89
$1,545 Vol.
32%
90-114
$919 Vol.
28%
115-139
$712 Vol.
13%
140-164
$1,721 Vol.
6%
165-189
$1,765 Vol.
2%
190-214
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$3,913 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,776 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X, with market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (32%) and 90-114 (28.5%) over the March 28-30, 2026 weekend, implying 22-38 posts daily based on his recent averages of 20-40 per day amid ongoing political commentary and Tesla/SpaceX updates. This tight race stems from variability in his activity—spiking during controversies like the 2024 election cycle or product reveals, yet dipping during travel or focus on ventures—creating uncertainty without a clear frontrunner. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like xAI announcements or regulatory news that could drive surges past 114, versus quieter periods under 65; traders eye historical patterns where engagement metrics amplify viral moments, though 2026 baselines remain speculative absent confirmed schedules.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$20,254Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X, with market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (32%) and 90-114 (28.5%) over the March 28-30, 2026 weekend, implying 22-38 posts daily based on his recent averages of 20-40 per day amid ongoing political commentary and Tesla/SpaceX updates. This tight race stems from variability in his activity—spiking during controversies like the 2024 election cycle or product reveals, yet dipping during travel or focus on ventures—creating uncertainty without a clear frontrunner. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like xAI announcements or regulatory news that could drive surges past 114, versus quieter periods under 65; traders eye historical patterns where engagement metrics amplify viral moments, though 2026 baselines remain speculative absent confirmed schedules.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$20,254Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X, with market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (32%) and 90-114 (28.5%) over the March 28-30, 2026 weekend, implying 22-38 posts daily based on his recent averages of 20-40 per day amid ongoing political commentary and Tesla/SpaceX updates. This tight race stems from variability in his activity—spiking during controversies like the 2024 election cycle or product reveals, yet dipping during travel or focus on ventures—creating uncertainty without a clear frontrunner. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like xAI announcements or regulatory news that could drive surges past 114, versus quieter periods under 65; traders eye historical patterns where engagement metrics amplify viral moments, though 2026 baselines remain speculative absent confirmed schedules.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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