Market icon

¿Será Clavicular el próximo líder supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon

¿Será Clavicular el próximo líder supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?

Sí

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$1,138,669 Vol.

Sí

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$1,138,669 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for "No" on Clavicular ascending as Iran's Supreme Leader by March 31, driven by the swift official appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei—son of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, killed in late February US-Israeli strikes—as the new leader on March 9, backed by the Assembly of Experts and Revolutionary Guards. This viral market stemmed from absurd social media memes linking the American looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular to a fabricated rumor of Khamenei's fandom, amplified by X buzz and Polymarket virality, but crushed by Clavicular's recent Florida arrest on battery charges and his zero political standing in Iran. With the deadline passed and no clerical pathway for a U.S. outsider, realistic upsets remain nonexistent amid Iran's hardline succession lockdown.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.

If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,138,669
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for "No" on Clavicular ascending as Iran's Supreme Leader by March 31, driven by the swift official appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei—son of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, killed in late February US-Israeli strikes—as the new leader on March 9, backed by the Assembly of Experts and Revolutionary Guards. This viral market stemmed from absurd social media memes linking the American looksmaxxing influencer Clavicular to a fabricated rumor of Khamenei's fandom, amplified by X buzz and Polymarket virality, but crushed by Clavicular's recent Florida arrest on battery charges and his zero political standing in Iran. With the deadline passed and no clerical pathway for a U.S. outsider, realistic upsets remain nonexistent amid Iran's hardline succession lockdown.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei.

If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,138,669
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 8:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Será Clavicular el próximo líder supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Será Clavicular el próximo Líder Supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Será Clavicular el próximo líder supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Será Clavicular el próximo líder supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Será Clavicular el próximo líder supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Será Clavicular el próximo Líder Supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Será Clavicular el próximo líder supremo de Irán antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.