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¿Llorará Clavicular en la transmisión antes del 1 de mayo de 2026?

Market icon

¿Llorará Clavicular en la transmisión antes del 1 de mayo de 2026?

57% probabilidad
Polymarket

$17,120 Vol.

57% probabilidad
Polymarket

$17,120 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used. Clavicular's frequent emotional meltdowns during recent Kick streams— including breakdowns over perceived exploitation by friends and women, a cheese-topped burger incident, and relationship strains—have fueled a closely contested market, with No holding a slim 53.5% trader consensus amid his history of viral vulnerability. Post-jail release on March 27 after a battery warrant and girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 arrest announcement (facing up to 15 years), he's shown resilience by resuming high-energy IRL content without full tears, balancing Yes bets on escalating drama. Odds could shift toward Yes on further rejections or legal fallout, or No if he maintains looksmaxxing discipline through May 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.



Volumen
$17,120
Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used. Clavicular's frequent emotional meltdowns during recent Kick streams— including breakdowns over perceived exploitation by friends and women, a cheese-topped burger incident, and relationship strains—have fueled a closely contested market, with No holding a slim 53.5% trader consensus amid his history of viral vulnerability. Post-jail release on March 27 after a battery warrant and girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 arrest announcement (facing up to 15 years), he's shown resilience by resuming high-energy IRL content without full tears, balancing Yes bets on escalating drama. Odds could shift toward Yes on further rejections or legal fallout, or No if he maintains looksmaxxing discipline through May 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.



Volumen
$17,120
Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Llorará Clavicular en la transmisión antes del 1 de mayo de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 57% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 57¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Llorará Clavicular en la transmisión antes del 1 de mayo de 2026?" ha generado $17.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 10, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Llorará Clavicular en la transmisión antes del 1 de mayo de 2026?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "¿Llorará Clavicular en la transmisión antes del 1 de mayo de 2026?" es 57% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 57% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Llorará Clavicular en la transmisión antes del 1 de mayo de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.