Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume from March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 260-319 posts (36.5% combined implied probability), extrapolating from his hyperactive 2024 pace of 250-450 weekly posts amid election fervor and DOGE initiatives. Leading ranges like 260-279 (12.5%) and 280-299 (12.5%) edge out others due to expectations of moderated activity post-Trump inauguration, tempered by persistent catalysts such as Tesla robotaxi unveils, Starship tests, and X platform tweaks. Competitive dynamics hinge on March's alignment with Q1 earnings or Mars announcements—high-news periods that historically spike output—versus quieter lulls, with lower tails (<220 or >400) dismissed as outliers given his cultural dominance as X's top influencer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado260-279 13%
280-299 13%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
$613,446 Vol.
$613,446 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
8%
240-259
11%
260-279
13%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
4%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
Más de 580
1%
260-279 13%
280-299 13%
300-319 12%
240-259 11%
$613,446 Vol.
$613,446 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
8%
240-259
11%
260-279
13%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
4%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
Más de 580
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume from March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 260-319 posts (36.5% combined implied probability), extrapolating from his hyperactive 2024 pace of 250-450 weekly posts amid election fervor and DOGE initiatives. Leading ranges like 260-279 (12.5%) and 280-299 (12.5%) edge out others due to expectations of moderated activity post-Trump inauguration, tempered by persistent catalysts such as Tesla robotaxi unveils, Starship tests, and X platform tweaks. Competitive dynamics hinge on March's alignment with Q1 earnings or Mars announcements—high-news periods that historically spike output—versus quieter lulls, with lower tails (<220 or >400) dismissed as outliers given his cultural dominance as X's top influencer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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