Spring break travel demand has positioned the 2.8M-3.0M range as the leading outcome at 47.5% trader consensus, reflecting steady increases in daily TSA checkpoint screenings amid peak season for U.S. schools and pre-Easter vacations. Recent figures show March 19 at 2.72 million passengers, up from 2.65 million on March 18, signaling momentum without major airline cancellations or weather disruptions reported. Lower buckets like 2.6M-2.8M (35%) account for potential moderation, while higher ranges trail due to historical midweek averages around 2.7-2.9 million in comparable periods. Traders await the official March 20 release, with no scheduled events poised to shift volumes significantly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2.8M-3.0M 48%
2.6M-2.8M 35%
2.4M-2.6M 24%
3.0M-3.2M 24%
<2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
24%
2.6M-2.8M
35%
2.8M-3.0M
48%
3.0M-3.2M
24%
>3.2M
2%
2.8M-3.0M 48%
2.6M-2.8M 35%
2.4M-2.6M 24%
3.0M-3.2M 24%
<2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
24%
2.6M-2.8M
35%
2.8M-3.0M
48%
3.0M-3.2M
24%
>3.2M
2%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spring break travel demand has positioned the 2.8M-3.0M range as the leading outcome at 47.5% trader consensus, reflecting steady increases in daily TSA checkpoint screenings amid peak season for U.S. schools and pre-Easter vacations. Recent figures show March 19 at 2.72 million passengers, up from 2.65 million on March 18, signaling momentum without major airline cancellations or weather disruptions reported. Lower buckets like 2.6M-2.8M (35%) account for potential moderation, while higher ranges trail due to historical midweek averages around 2.7-2.9 million in comparable periods. Traders await the official March 20 release, with no scheduled events poised to shift volumes significantly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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