Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 2.7 million to 2.9 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 22, capturing 61.5% implied probability, driven by spring break travel peaking mid-month before tapering amid school calendars and Easter proximity on March 31. Recent TSA data shows March 20 at 2.84 million and March 21 preliminaries around 2.76 million, aligning with seasonal Friday upticks from historical averages of 2.6-2.8 million without holidays. Mild weather nationwide and no major disruptions like storms or strikes bolster this range, while lower odds for sub-2.5 million reflect post-winter recovery; traders await official TSA release for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2.7M-2.9M 66%
2.9M-3.1M 26%
<2.5M 11.1%
2.5M-2.7M 10%
<2.5M
11%
2.5M-2.7M
10%
2.7M-2.9M
60%
2.9M-3.1M
34%
3.1M-3.3M
2%
>3.3M
1%
2.7M-2.9M 66%
2.9M-3.1M 26%
<2.5M 11.1%
2.5M-2.7M 10%
<2.5M
11%
2.5M-2.7M
10%
2.7M-2.9M
60%
2.9M-3.1M
34%
3.1M-3.3M
2%
>3.3M
1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 5:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 2.7 million to 2.9 million TSA checkpoint passengers for March 22, capturing 61.5% implied probability, driven by spring break travel peaking mid-month before tapering amid school calendars and Easter proximity on March 31. Recent TSA data shows March 20 at 2.84 million and March 21 preliminaries around 2.76 million, aligning with seasonal Friday upticks from historical averages of 2.6-2.8 million without holidays. Mild weather nationwide and no major disruptions like storms or strikes bolster this range, while lower odds for sub-2.5 million reflect post-winter recovery; traders await official TSA release for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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