Name: ¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Start: 2025-11-12T22:45:20.996803Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Larry Ellison

Bernard Arnault

Jensen Huang

Steve Ballmer

Sergey Brin

Elon Musk

Mark Zuckerberg

Jeff Bezos

Warren Buffett

Larry Page

Persona más rica

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on September 30, 2025, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Richest person on September 30?

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2025, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

¿La persona más rica el 31 de diciembre?

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

¿Persona más rica el 31 de marzo?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

¿Tim Cook dejará de ser CEO de Apple antes de 2027?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

¿Ganará Donald Trump el Premio Nobel de la Paz en 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart.

If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.

¿Será Taylor Swift la artista número 1 de Billboard en 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

¿La inflación superará el 3% en 2026?

A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Se aprueba el impuesto sobre la riqueza única para multimillonarios en las elecciones de California de 2026?

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

¿Tendrá OpenAI el mejor modelo de IA para programación el 31 de marzo?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. 

¿Impuesto único sobre la riqueza de los multimillonarios en la boleta electoral de California?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Bureau of Labor Statistics fails to release any monthly report on the Consumer Price Index by 11:59PM ET on the scheduled release date between December 1, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If an announcement is made by the White House or the BLS that the monthly CPI release will be delayed or cancelled altogether, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the BLS or a consensus of credible reporting. 

¿Retrasará la BLS otro informe del IPC antes de 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. 

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Elon Musk
$64,488 Vol.
90%

Larry Page
$4,071 Vol.
4%

Steve Ballmer
$31,578 Vol.
2%

Warren Buffett
$10,291 Vol.
2%

Bernard Arnault
$2,288 Vol.
1%

Jeff Bezos
$2,773 Vol.
1%

Larry Ellison
$2,851 Vol.
1%

Mark Zuckerberg
$1,662 Vol.
1%

Jensen Huang
$1,659 Vol.
1%

Sergey Brin
$2,072 Vol.
<1%

Contexto del Mercado

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Reglas

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Contexto del Mercado

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Acerca de

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Elon Musk$64,488 Vol.90%Comprar Sí91¢Comprar No11¢

Larry Page$4,071 Vol.4%Comprar Sí4.3¢Comprar No96.6¢

Steve Ballmer$31,578 Vol.2%Comprar Sí1.9¢Comprar No98.2¢

Warren Buffett$10,291 Vol.2%Comprar Sí1.8¢Comprar No98.8¢

Bernard Arnault$2,288 Vol.1%Comprar Sí2.0¢Comprar No99.2¢

Jeff Bezos$2,773 Vol.1%Comprar Sí1.2¢Comprar No99.4¢

Larry Ellison$2,851 Vol.1%Comprar Sí0.8¢Comprar No99.6¢

Mark Zuckerberg$1,662 Vol.1%Comprar Sí0.8¢Comprar No99.6¢

Jensen Huang$1,659 Vol.1%Comprar Sí0.7¢Comprar No99.6¢

Sergey Brin$2,072 Vol.<1%Comprar Sí0.4¢Comprar No99.7¢

Contexto del Mercado

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Reglas

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Contexto del Mercado

¿Persona más rica el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Acerca de

Elon Musk
$64,488 Vol.
90%

Larry Page
$4,071 Vol.
4%

Steve Ballmer
$31,578 Vol.
2%

Warren Buffett
$10,291 Vol.
2%

Bernard Arnault
$2,288 Vol.
1%

Jeff Bezos
$2,773 Vol.
1%

Larry Ellison
$2,851 Vol.
1%

Mark Zuckerberg
$1,662 Vol.
1%

Jensen Huang
$1,659 Vol.
1%

Sergey Brin
$2,072 Vol.
<1%