Anthropic's Claude family of large language models holds the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, fueling a 99% implied probability among traders for it claiming the best AI model by March 31, 2026. This strong consensus stems from recent advancements like the computer-use launch enabling agentic workflows, alongside rapid rollouts of voice mode, persistent memory, and remote code execution, which have widened its lead over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT and Google's Gemini in crowdsourced benchmarks. Enterprise adoption has surged, with Anthropic securing 73% of new business AI budgets amid $19 billion in monthly revenue. With mere days to resolution, only an unforeseen superior model drop from competitors or a massive voting shift could realistically upend the positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAnthropic 98.9%
Google <1%
xAI <1%
OpenAI <1%
$15,335,841 Vol.
$15,335,841 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
99%
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 98.9%
Google <1%
xAI <1%
OpenAI <1%
$15,335,841 Vol.
$15,335,841 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
$1,525,927 Vol.
99%
$989,884 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$1,132,939 Vol.
<1%
OpenAI
$1,484,485 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,345,222 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$3,134,781 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,419,791 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,197,315 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$1,224,639 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$1,262,172 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$618,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude family of large language models holds the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, fueling a 99% implied probability among traders for it claiming the best AI model by March 31, 2026. This strong consensus stems from recent advancements like the computer-use launch enabling agentic workflows, alongside rapid rollouts of voice mode, persistent memory, and remote code execution, which have widened its lead over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT and Google's Gemini in crowdsourced benchmarks. Enterprise adoption has surged, with Anthropic securing 73% of new business AI budgets amid $19 billion in monthly revenue. With mere days to resolution, only an unforeseen superior model drop from competitors or a massive voting shift could realistically upend the positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volumen
$15,335,841Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude family of large language models holds the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, fueling a 99% implied probability among traders for it claiming the best AI model by March 31, 2026. This strong consensus stems from recent advancements like the computer-use launch enabling agentic workflows, alongside rapid rollouts of voice mode, persistent memory, and remote code execution, which have widened its lead over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT and Google's Gemini in crowdsourced benchmarks. Enterprise adoption has surged, with Anthropic securing 73% of new business AI budgets amid $19 billion in monthly revenue. With mere days to resolution, only an unforeseen superior model drop from competitors or a massive voting shift could realistically upend the positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$15,335,841Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's Claude family of large language models holds the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, fueling a 99% implied probability among traders for it claiming the best AI model by March 31, 2026. This strong consensus stems from recent advancements like the computer-use launch enabling agentic workflows, alongside rapid rollouts of voice mode, persistent memory, and remote code execution, which have widened its lead over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT and Google's Gemini in crowdsourced benchmarks. Enterprise adoption has surged, with Anthropic securing 73% of new business AI budgets amid $19 billion in monthly revenue. With mere days to resolution, only an unforeseen superior model drop from competitors or a massive voting shift could realistically upend the positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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