Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 47.6% overall, reflecting trader skepticism on rapid catch-up by June 30 amid fierce AI math benchmark competition. Gemini 3 Pro preview achieved 19% on the benchmark's hardest Tier 4—unpublished research-level problems—while Gemini 3.1 Pro recently verified solving a Ramsey hypergraph open problem alongside GPT-5.4 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6, showcasing advancing mathematical reasoning capabilities. February's Gemini 3 Deep Think upgrade boosted scientific benchmarks like 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam, but FrontierMath lags highlight scaling challenges. Watch for Google I/O announcements or interim releases, as model iterations could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$127,626 Vol.
28 feb 2026
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$127,626 Vol.
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$30,401 Vol.
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$48,262 Vol.
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$18,709 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 47.6% overall, reflecting trader skepticism on rapid catch-up by June 30 amid fierce AI math benchmark competition. Gemini 3 Pro preview achieved 19% on the benchmark's hardest Tier 4—unpublished research-level problems—while Gemini 3.1 Pro recently verified solving a Ramsey hypergraph open problem alongside GPT-5.4 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6, showcasing advancing mathematical reasoning capabilities. February's Gemini 3 Deep Think upgrade boosted scientific benchmarks like 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam, but FrontierMath lags highlight scaling challenges. Watch for Google I/O announcements or interim releases, as model iterations could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$127,626Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 47.6% overall, reflecting trader skepticism on rapid catch-up by June 30 amid fierce AI math benchmark competition. Gemini 3 Pro preview achieved 19% on the benchmark's hardest Tier 4—unpublished research-level problems—while Gemini 3.1 Pro recently verified solving a Ramsey hypergraph open problem alongside GPT-5.4 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6, showcasing advancing mathematical reasoning capabilities. February's Gemini 3 Deep Think upgrade boosted scientific benchmarks like 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam, but FrontierMath lags highlight scaling challenges. Watch for Google I/O announcements or interim releases, as model iterations could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$127,626Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 47.6% overall, reflecting trader skepticism on rapid catch-up by June 30 amid fierce AI math benchmark competition. Gemini 3 Pro preview achieved 19% on the benchmark's hardest Tier 4—unpublished research-level problems—while Gemini 3.1 Pro recently verified solving a Ramsey hypergraph open problem alongside GPT-5.4 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6, showcasing advancing mathematical reasoning capabilities. February's Gemini 3 Deep Think upgrade boosted scientific benchmarks like 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam, but FrontierMath lags highlight scaling challenges. Watch for Google I/O announcements or interim releases, as model iterations could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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