Trader consensus heavily favors NASDAQ at 77.5% implied probability for SpaceX's eventual listing, driven by the company's alignment with the exchange's tech-heavy ecosystem—home to Elon Musk's Tesla and other high-growth space and innovation firms—as opposed to NYSE's traditional finance focus. Recent Starship Flight 5 success on October 13, featuring the first-ever booster catch and rapid reusability milestones, propelled SpaceX's valuation to $350 billion in a new employee tender offer, heightening IPO speculation without firm timelines. No official filing has emerged, but Musk's historical NASDAQ preference and Starlink spin-off potential (targeted for 2025) underpin the odds, with model consensus awaiting SEC updates or mission readouts that could refine trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNASDAQ 78%
NYSE 11%
Other 8%
NEW
NEW
NASDAQ
78%
NYSE
11%
Other
8%
NASDAQ 78%
NYSE 11%
Other 8%
NEW
NEW
NASDAQ
$1,640 Vol.
78%
NYSE
$866 Vol.
11%
Other
$2,299 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$4,804Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,804Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors NASDAQ at 77.5% implied probability for SpaceX's eventual listing, driven by the company's alignment with the exchange's tech-heavy ecosystem—home to Elon Musk's Tesla and other high-growth space and innovation firms—as opposed to NYSE's traditional finance focus. Recent Starship Flight 5 success on October 13, featuring the first-ever booster catch and rapid reusability milestones, propelled SpaceX's valuation to $350 billion in a new employee tender offer, heightening IPO speculation without firm timelines. No official filing has emerged, but Musk's historical NASDAQ preference and Starlink spin-off potential (targeted for 2025) underpin the odds, with model consensus awaiting SEC updates or mission readouts that could refine trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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