Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on a GPT-5.6 release during June 15–21, driven by the observed 60-day cadence between GPT-5.5 and its predecessor alongside a mid-May canary leak of the model identifier in OpenAI’s Codex routing logs. This internal signal, combined with ongoing A/B testing chatter and competitive pressure from rival labs, has positioned the mid-June window as the leading outcome while keeping earlier and later June buckets as viable alternatives. No official announcement, model card, or API listing has emerged as of early June 2026, underscoring that current odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of development velocity rather than confirmed timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJune 15–June 21 58%
June 8–June 14 27%
Not released by June 28 13%
June 22–June 28 9.4%
$61,621 Vol.
$61,621 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 1–June 7
2%
June 8–June 14
27%
June 15–June 21
56%
June 22–June 28
9%
Not released by June 28
13%
June 15–June 21 58%
June 8–June 14 27%
Not released by June 28 13%
June 22–June 28 9.4%
$61,621 Vol.
$61,621 Vol.
28 jun 2026
June 1–June 7
$12,166 Vol.
2%
June 8–June 14
$11,017 Vol.
27%
June 15–June 21
$2,646 Vol.
56%
June 22–June 28
$2,010 Vol.
9%
Not released by June 28
$6,642 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on a GPT-5.6 release during June 15–21, driven by the observed 60-day cadence between GPT-5.5 and its predecessor alongside a mid-May canary leak of the model identifier in OpenAI’s Codex routing logs. This internal signal, combined with ongoing A/B testing chatter and competitive pressure from rival labs, has positioned the mid-June window as the leading outcome while keeping earlier and later June buckets as viable alternatives. No official announcement, model card, or API listing has emerged as of early June 2026, underscoring that current odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of development velocity rather than confirmed timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volumen
$61,621Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on a GPT-5.6 release during June 15–21, driven by the observed 60-day cadence between GPT-5.5 and its predecessor alongside a mid-May canary leak of the model identifier in OpenAI’s Codex routing logs. This internal signal, combined with ongoing A/B testing chatter and competitive pressure from rival labs, has positioned the mid-June window as the leading outcome while keeping earlier and later June buckets as viable alternatives. No official announcement, model card, or API listing has emerged as of early June 2026, underscoring that current odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of development velocity rather than confirmed timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$61,621Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on a GPT-5.6 release during June 15–21, driven by the observed 60-day cadence between GPT-5.5 and its predecessor alongside a mid-May canary leak of the model identifier in OpenAI’s Codex routing logs. This internal signal, combined with ongoing A/B testing chatter and competitive pressure from rival labs, has positioned the mid-June window as the leading outcome while keeping earlier and later June buckets as viable alternatives. No official announcement, model card, or API listing has emerged as of early June 2026, underscoring that current odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of development velocity rather than confirmed timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes