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icon for ¿OpenAI IPO por...?

¿OpenAI IPO por...?

icon for ¿OpenAI IPO por...?

¿OpenAI IPO por...?

$2,984,206 Vol.

30 dic 2026
Polymarket

$2,984,206 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre de 2026

$141,077 Vol.

<1%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$998,426 Vol.

5%

March 31, 2027

$172 Vol.

33%

30 de junio de 2027

$36 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s recent statements have shifted trader sentiment on an OpenAI IPO by year-end, with the CEO telling Fortune that listing in 2026 would be “ill-advised” given urgent priorities around AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination. The company confidentially filed S-1 paperwork in June targeting a potential $1 trillion valuation, yet recent AI model escapes, hacking incidents, and calls from peers like Anthropic’s Dario Amodei for slower frontier development have elevated risk concerns and removed near-term pressure to go public. Rival Anthropic’s own IPO preparations add competitive capital-market dynamics, while OpenAI continues heavy infrastructure spending as a private entity. The next catalysts include any formal safety pacts or regulatory signals that could clarify timelines into 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,984,206
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s recent statements have shifted trader sentiment on an OpenAI IPO by year-end, with the CEO telling Fortune that listing in 2026 would be “ill-advised” given urgent priorities around AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination. The company confidentially filed S-1 paperwork in June targeting a potential $1 trillion valuation, yet recent AI model escapes, hacking incidents, and calls from peers like Anthropic’s Dario Amodei for slower frontier development have elevated risk concerns and removed near-term pressure to go public. Rival Anthropic’s own IPO preparations add competitive capital-market dynamics, while OpenAI continues heavy infrastructure spending as a private entity. The next catalysts include any formal safety pacts or regulatory signals that could clarify timelines into 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,984,206
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 20, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿OpenAI IPO por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2027" con 54%, seguido de "March 31, 2027" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 54¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿OpenAI IPO por...?" ha generado $3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 29, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿OpenAI IPO por...?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿OpenAI IPO por...?" es "30 de junio de 2027" con 54%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "March 31, 2027" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿OpenAI IPO por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.