Databricks’ CEO stated in June 2026 that the year represents a “terrible” window for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and others, prompting the company to pursue private capital instead. This stance aligns with the absence of an S-1 filing through mid-2026 and the July 16 announcement of a strategic round at a $188 billion valuation—up from the $134 billion Series L earlier in the year and June talks of $165–175 billion—led by Coatue and expected to close later in the summer. With Databricks reporting over $4 billion in ARR and strong AI-driven growth, private-market multiples near 25x run-rate revenue support elevated valuations, yet crowded IPO conditions and the firm’s preference for additional private rounds elevate the market-implied odds of no listing by December 31, 2027 above 60 percent while capping probabilities across the listed market-cap bins. Key near-term signals include any S-1 submission and broader IPO-market sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 63%
$400B-$450B 61%
$450 mil millones+ 56%
<150 mil millones de dólares 52%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
<150 mil millones de dólares
52%
$150B-$200B
52%
$200B-$250B
30%
$250B-$300B
32%
$300B-$350B
31%
$350 mil millones-$400 mil millones
29%
$400B-$450B
61%
$450 mil millones+
56%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
63%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 63%
$400B-$450B 61%
$450 mil millones+ 56%
<150 mil millones de dólares 52%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
<150 mil millones de dólares
$0 Vol.
52%
$150B-$200B
$0 Vol.
52%
$200B-$250B
$18 Vol.
30%
$250B-$300B
$18 Vol.
32%
$300B-$350B
$18 Vol.
31%
$350 mil millones-$400 mil millones
$18 Vol.
29%
$400B-$450B
$0 Vol.
61%
$450 mil millones+
$0 Vol.
56%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
$172 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ CEO stated in June 2026 that the year represents a “terrible” window for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and others, prompting the company to pursue private capital instead. This stance aligns with the absence of an S-1 filing through mid-2026 and the July 16 announcement of a strategic round at a $188 billion valuation—up from the $134 billion Series L earlier in the year and June talks of $165–175 billion—led by Coatue and expected to close later in the summer. With Databricks reporting over $4 billion in ARR and strong AI-driven growth, private-market multiples near 25x run-rate revenue support elevated valuations, yet crowded IPO conditions and the firm’s preference for additional private rounds elevate the market-implied odds of no listing by December 31, 2027 above 60 percent while capping probabilities across the listed market-cap bins. Key near-term signals include any S-1 submission and broader IPO-market sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volumen
$244Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ CEO stated in June 2026 that the year represents a “terrible” window for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and others, prompting the company to pursue private capital instead. This stance aligns with the absence of an S-1 filing through mid-2026 and the July 16 announcement of a strategic round at a $188 billion valuation—up from the $134 billion Series L earlier in the year and June talks of $165–175 billion—led by Coatue and expected to close later in the summer. With Databricks reporting over $4 billion in ARR and strong AI-driven growth, private-market multiples near 25x run-rate revenue support elevated valuations, yet crowded IPO conditions and the firm’s preference for additional private rounds elevate the market-implied odds of no listing by December 31, 2027 above 60 percent while capping probabilities across the listed market-cap bins. Key near-term signals include any S-1 submission and broader IPO-market sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$244Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ CEO stated in June 2026 that the year represents a “terrible” window for an IPO amid a crowded calendar including SpaceX and others, prompting the company to pursue private capital instead. This stance aligns with the absence of an S-1 filing through mid-2026 and the July 16 announcement of a strategic round at a $188 billion valuation—up from the $134 billion Series L earlier in the year and June talks of $165–175 billion—led by Coatue and expected to close later in the summer. With Databricks reporting over $4 billion in ARR and strong AI-driven growth, private-market multiples near 25x run-rate revenue support elevated valuations, yet crowded IPO conditions and the firm’s preference for additional private rounds elevate the market-implied odds of no listing by December 31, 2027 above 60 percent while capping probabilities across the listed market-cap bins. Key near-term signals include any S-1 submission and broader IPO-market sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes