Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 61.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by the Claude developer's concrete preparations—including hiring Wilson Sonsini for IPO groundwork and early banker talks targeting an October 2026 listing—contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions. Anthropic's CFO-free path highlights explosive enterprise revenue growth, surging from $9 billion to $30 billion annualized recently while burning less capital than OpenAI's $14 billion yearly losses amid massive compute spends. OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline as risky in early April reports, eroding confidence. Watch for S-1 filings or funding updates as key catalysts in this AI lab IPO race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$52,882 Vol.
$52,882 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$52,882 Vol.
$52,882 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 61.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by the Claude developer's concrete preparations—including hiring Wilson Sonsini for IPO groundwork and early banker talks targeting an October 2026 listing—contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions. Anthropic's CFO-free path highlights explosive enterprise revenue growth, surging from $9 billion to $30 billion annualized recently while burning less capital than OpenAI's $14 billion yearly losses amid massive compute spends. OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline as risky in early April reports, eroding confidence. Watch for S-1 filings or funding updates as key catalysts in this AI lab IPO race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$52,882Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 61.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by the Claude developer's concrete preparations—including hiring Wilson Sonsini for IPO groundwork and early banker talks targeting an October 2026 listing—contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions. Anthropic's CFO-free path highlights explosive enterprise revenue growth, surging from $9 billion to $30 billion annualized recently while burning less capital than OpenAI's $14 billion yearly losses amid massive compute spends. OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline as risky in early April reports, eroding confidence. Watch for S-1 filings or funding updates as key catalysts in this AI lab IPO race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$52,882Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Anthropic at 61.5% implied probability to IPO first over OpenAI, driven by the Claude developer's concrete preparations—including hiring Wilson Sonsini for IPO groundwork and early banker talks targeting an October 2026 listing—contrasting OpenAI's internal tensions. Anthropic's CFO-free path highlights explosive enterprise revenue growth, surging from $9 billion to $30 billion annualized recently while burning less capital than OpenAI's $14 billion yearly losses amid massive compute spends. OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 timeline as risky in early April reports, eroding confidence. Watch for S-1 filings or funding updates as key catalysts in this AI lab IPO race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes