Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s late-May $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and comes as both AI labs prepare large 2026 debuts to fund massive compute needs and reward early investors. OpenAI, last valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own draft registration, leaving it several weeks behind on the standard confidential-to-public timeline. Upcoming catalysts include potential public S-1 releases this summer and any shifts in market conditions that could accelerate or delay either company’s path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic
$114,401 Vol.
$114,401 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
$114,401 Vol.
$114,401 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s late-May $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and comes as both AI labs prepare large 2026 debuts to fund massive compute needs and reward early investors. OpenAI, last valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own draft registration, leaving it several weeks behind on the standard confidential-to-public timeline. Upcoming catalysts include potential public S-1 releases this summer and any shifts in market conditions that could accelerate or delay either company’s path.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$114,401Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s late-May $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and comes as both AI labs prepare large 2026 debuts to fund massive compute needs and reward early investors. OpenAI, last valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own draft registration, leaving it several weeks behind on the standard confidential-to-public timeline. Upcoming catalysts include potential public S-1 releases this summer and any shifts in market conditions that could accelerate or delay either company’s path.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$114,401Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race to public markets, driving trader consensus toward an 82.5% implied probability it will IPO before OpenAI. The move follows Anthropic’s late-May $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and comes as both AI labs prepare large 2026 debuts to fund massive compute needs and reward early investors. OpenAI, last valued near $850 billion, has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own draft registration, leaving it several weeks behind on the standard confidential-to-public timeline. Upcoming catalysts include potential public S-1 releases this summer and any shifts in market conditions that could accelerate or delay either company’s path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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