Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's explosive private valuations—reaching an implied $61.5 billion post-money in a March 2025 funding round led by Lightspeed Venture Partners—and its competitive edge in artificial intelligence with Claude 3.5 Sonnet topping key benchmarks over rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o. Amazon's additional $4 billion investment in November 2024, bringing its total stake to $8 billion, underscores deep-pocketed backing and enterprise adoption via AWS integration. While CEO Dario Amodei has downplayed near-term IPO plans, the 16% odds for no public listing by December 31, 2027, reflect optimism around AI hype sustaining momentum through potential Claude 4 releases and regulatory clarity, though execution risks and market volatility loom.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado600.000M+ 81%
No salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 16%
400–600 mil millones 2.4%
300–400 mil millones 1.6%
$92,173 Vol.
$92,173 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 mil millones
1%
100–200 mil millones
1%
200–300B
1%
300–400 mil millones
2%
400–600 mil millones
2%
600.000M+
81%
No salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
16%
600.000M+ 81%
No salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027 16%
400–600 mil millones 2.4%
300–400 mil millones 1.6%
$92,173 Vol.
$92,173 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 mil millones
$47,430 Vol.
1%
100–200 mil millones
$3,275 Vol.
1%
200–300B
$3,332 Vol.
1%
300–400 mil millones
$25,402 Vol.
2%
400–600 mil millones
$3,249 Vol.
2%
600.000M+
$6,047 Vol.
81%
No salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027
$3,437 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's explosive private valuations—reaching an implied $61.5 billion post-money in a March 2025 funding round led by Lightspeed Venture Partners—and its competitive edge in artificial intelligence with Claude 3.5 Sonnet topping key benchmarks over rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o. Amazon's additional $4 billion investment in November 2024, bringing its total stake to $8 billion, underscores deep-pocketed backing and enterprise adoption via AWS integration. While CEO Dario Amodei has downplayed near-term IPO plans, the 16% odds for no public listing by December 31, 2027, reflect optimism around AI hype sustaining momentum through potential Claude 4 releases and regulatory clarity, though execution risks and market volatility loom.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volumen
$92,173Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's explosive private valuations—reaching an implied $61.5 billion post-money in a March 2025 funding round led by Lightspeed Venture Partners—and its competitive edge in artificial intelligence with Claude 3.5 Sonnet topping key benchmarks over rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o. Amazon's additional $4 billion investment in November 2024, bringing its total stake to $8 billion, underscores deep-pocketed backing and enterprise adoption via AWS integration. While CEO Dario Amodei has downplayed near-term IPO plans, the 16% odds for no public listing by December 31, 2027, reflect optimism around AI hype sustaining momentum through potential Claude 4 releases and regulatory clarity, though execution risks and market volatility loom.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$92,173Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's explosive private valuations—reaching an implied $61.5 billion post-money in a March 2025 funding round led by Lightspeed Venture Partners—and its competitive edge in artificial intelligence with Claude 3.5 Sonnet topping key benchmarks over rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o. Amazon's additional $4 billion investment in November 2024, bringing its total stake to $8 billion, underscores deep-pocketed backing and enterprise adoption via AWS integration. While CEO Dario Amodei has downplayed near-term IPO plans, the 16% odds for no public listing by December 31, 2027, reflect optimism around AI hype sustaining momentum through potential Claude 4 releases and regulatory clarity, though execution risks and market volatility loom.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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