Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.6% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI lab is weighing a public listing no earlier than Q4 2026—potentially October—with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise at its current $380 billion post-money valuation from February's record $30 billion Series G funding round. Surging annualized revenue near $14 billion from Claude large language model deployments, plus major backers like Amazon and Google, reduces urgency for an imminent debut amid volatile public markets and lengthy SEC review processes. Challenges could arise from accelerated S-1 filings, competitive pressures from OpenAI's moves, or favorable regulatory shifts enabling a surprise H1 listing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest low likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 96.6%
600 mil millones+ 1.5%
400–600 mil millones <1%
200–300 mil millones <1%
$926,969 Vol.
$926,969 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 mil millones
1%
300–400 mil millones
1%
400–600 mil millones
1%
600 mil millones+
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
97%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 96.6%
600 mil millones+ 1.5%
400–600 mil millones <1%
200–300 mil millones <1%
$926,969 Vol.
$926,969 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
$191,443 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$64,473 Vol.
<1%
200–300 mil millones
$121,027 Vol.
1%
300–400 mil millones
$62,135 Vol.
1%
400–600 mil millones
$93,240 Vol.
1%
600 mil millones+
$232,620 Vol.
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
$162,032 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.6% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI lab is weighing a public listing no earlier than Q4 2026—potentially October—with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise at its current $380 billion post-money valuation from February's record $30 billion Series G funding round. Surging annualized revenue near $14 billion from Claude large language model deployments, plus major backers like Amazon and Google, reduces urgency for an imminent debut amid volatile public markets and lengthy SEC review processes. Challenges could arise from accelerated S-1 filings, competitive pressures from OpenAI's moves, or favorable regulatory shifts enabling a surprise H1 listing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest low likelihood.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$926,969Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.6% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI lab is weighing a public listing no earlier than Q4 2026—potentially October—with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise at its current $380 billion post-money valuation from February's record $30 billion Series G funding round. Surging annualized revenue near $14 billion from Claude large language model deployments, plus major backers like Amazon and Google, reduces urgency for an imminent debut amid volatile public markets and lengthy SEC review processes. Challenges could arise from accelerated S-1 filings, competitive pressures from OpenAI's moves, or favorable regulatory shifts enabling a surprise H1 listing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest low likelihood.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$926,969Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.6% implied probability), driven by recent reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating the AI lab is weighing a public listing no earlier than Q4 2026—potentially October—with bankers eyeing a $60 billion-plus raise at its current $380 billion post-money valuation from February's record $30 billion Series G funding round. Surging annualized revenue near $14 billion from Claude large language model deployments, plus major backers like Amazon and Google, reduces urgency for an imminent debut amid volatile public markets and lengthy SEC review processes. Challenges could arise from accelerated S-1 filings, competitive pressures from OpenAI's moves, or favorable regulatory shifts enabling a surprise H1 listing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest low likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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