Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports from bankers indicating the AI lab is targeting an initial public offering no earlier than Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation following its February Series G round of $30 billion. This positioning reflects Anthropic's ample private capital—bolstered by annualized revenue nearing $19 billion—and the typical six-to-nine-month timeline for S-1 filings, roadshows, and regulatory reviews, with no such preparations announced. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt strategic shift amid competitive pressures from OpenAI or favorable market windows, though recent funding reduces urgency for a rushed H1 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 96.6%
600 mil millones+ 1.7%
400–600 mil millones <1%
200–300 mil millones <1%
$927,327 Vol.
$927,327 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 mil millones
1%
300–400 mil millones
1%
400–600 mil millones
1%
600 mil millones+
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
97%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 96.6%
600 mil millones+ 1.7%
400–600 mil millones <1%
200–300 mil millones <1%
$927,327 Vol.
$927,327 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
$191,540 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$64,509 Vol.
<1%
200–300 mil millones
$121,064 Vol.
1%
300–400 mil millones
$62,180 Vol.
1%
400–600 mil millones
$93,284 Vol.
1%
600 mil millones+
$232,681 Vol.
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
$162,068 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports from bankers indicating the AI lab is targeting an initial public offering no earlier than Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation following its February Series G round of $30 billion. This positioning reflects Anthropic's ample private capital—bolstered by annualized revenue nearing $19 billion—and the typical six-to-nine-month timeline for S-1 filings, roadshows, and regulatory reviews, with no such preparations announced. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt strategic shift amid competitive pressures from OpenAI or favorable market windows, though recent funding reduces urgency for a rushed H1 debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$927,327Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports from bankers indicating the AI lab is targeting an initial public offering no earlier than Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation following its February Series G round of $30 billion. This positioning reflects Anthropic's ample private capital—bolstered by annualized revenue nearing $19 billion—and the typical six-to-nine-month timeline for S-1 filings, roadshows, and regulatory reviews, with no such preparations announced. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt strategic shift amid competitive pressures from OpenAI or favorable market windows, though recent funding reduces urgency for a rushed H1 debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$927,327Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 96.6% implied probability, driven by recent reports from bankers indicating the AI lab is targeting an initial public offering no earlier than Q4 2026, potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion-plus valuation following its February Series G round of $30 billion. This positioning reflects Anthropic's ample private capital—bolstered by annualized revenue nearing $19 billion—and the typical six-to-nine-month timeline for S-1 filings, roadshows, and regulatory reviews, with no such preparations announced. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt strategic shift amid competitive pressures from OpenAI or favorable market windows, though recent funding reduces urgency for a rushed H1 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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