Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58% implied probability to "None" of the listed tech CEOs—covering Elon Musk (Tesla), Andy Jassy (Amazon), Tim Cook (Apple), Jensen Huang (Nvidia), Pat Gelsinger (Intel), and Sam Altman (OpenAI)—departing before 2027, reflecting broad stability amid the AI surge bolstering leaders like Huang and Altman post-OpenAI turbulence. Musk leads exit odds at 13%, fueled by his refiled Tesla pay package vote facing shareholder pushback, divided focus on xAI and politics, and Q1 delivery misses. Gelsinger trails at 2% despite Intel's foundry delays and layoffs, with Jassy and Cook lower amid AWS growth and Apple antitrust woes. Watch Tesla's June shareholder meeting and Intel's Q2 earnings for catalysts shifting these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$443,614 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
38%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
22%

Sundar Pichai - Google
17%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
17%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
16%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
9%
$443,614 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
38%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
22%

Sundar Pichai - Google
17%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
17%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
16%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
9%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58% implied probability to "None" of the listed tech CEOs—covering Elon Musk (Tesla), Andy Jassy (Amazon), Tim Cook (Apple), Jensen Huang (Nvidia), Pat Gelsinger (Intel), and Sam Altman (OpenAI)—departing before 2027, reflecting broad stability amid the AI surge bolstering leaders like Huang and Altman post-OpenAI turbulence. Musk leads exit odds at 13%, fueled by his refiled Tesla pay package vote facing shareholder pushback, divided focus on xAI and politics, and Q1 delivery misses. Gelsinger trails at 2% despite Intel's foundry delays and layoffs, with Jassy and Cook lower amid AWS growth and Apple antitrust woes. Watch Tesla's June shareholder meeting and Intel's Q2 earnings for catalysts shifting these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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