Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 closure of a $7 billion equity-and-debt package at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered by $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This massive raise, including $5 billion in fresh equity, reduces immediate public market pressure, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and Genie assistant amid volatile conditions for software IPOs. No S-1 filing has surfaced despite years of speculation, aligning with executives' preference to remain private longer. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt regulatory filing or surging AI demand prompting an accelerated H2 debut, though historical delays temper expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 91.2%
250 mil millones+ 3.7%
175–200 mil millones 1.8%
125–150B 1.8%
$365,542 Vol.
$365,542 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100 mil millones
1%
100–125 mil millones
1%
125–150B
2%
150–175 mil millones
2%
175–200 mil millones
2%
200–250B
1%
250 mil millones+
4%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
91%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 91.2%
250 mil millones+ 3.7%
175–200 mil millones 1.8%
125–150B 1.8%
$365,542 Vol.
$365,542 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100 mil millones
$32,044 Vol.
1%
100–125 mil millones
$37,904 Vol.
1%
125–150B
$24,250 Vol.
2%
150–175 mil millones
$58,611 Vol.
2%
175–200 mil millones
$56,728 Vol.
2%
200–250B
$19,022 Vol.
1%
250 mil millones+
$124,207 Vol.
4%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$12,776 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 closure of a $7 billion equity-and-debt package at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered by $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This massive raise, including $5 billion in fresh equity, reduces immediate public market pressure, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and Genie assistant amid volatile conditions for software IPOs. No S-1 filing has surfaced despite years of speculation, aligning with executives' preference to remain private longer. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt regulatory filing or surging AI demand prompting an accelerated H2 debut, though historical delays temper expectations.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$365,542Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 closure of a $7 billion equity-and-debt package at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered by $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This massive raise, including $5 billion in fresh equity, reduces immediate public market pressure, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and Genie assistant amid volatile conditions for software IPOs. No S-1 filing has surfaced despite years of speculation, aligning with executives' preference to remain private longer. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt regulatory filing or surging AI demand prompting an accelerated H2 debut, though historical delays temper expectations.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$365,542Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.3% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 closure of a $7 billion equity-and-debt package at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered by $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This massive raise, including $5 billion in fresh equity, reduces immediate public market pressure, allowing Databricks to prioritize AI-driven expansions like its lakehouse platform and Genie assistant amid volatile conditions for software IPOs. No S-1 filing has surfaced despite years of speculation, aligning with executives' preference to remain private longer. Scenarios challenging this include an abrupt regulatory filing or surging AI demand prompting an accelerated H2 debut, though historical delays temper expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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