SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for a June listing, following the company's May 20 S-1 filing with the SEC and reports of a targeted June 4 roadshow, June 11 pricing, and Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and strong institutional demand for the record-sized offering, potentially valuing the firm above $1.5 trillion, have driven this positioning among traders. While the near-term catalyst path appears clear, realistic scenarios such as last-minute SEC comments, adverse market volatility, or shifts in underwriting schedules could still introduce modest delays into July.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 95.5%
Julio 3.9%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 1.3%
Septiembre <1%
$383,059 Vol.
$383,059 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
96%
Julio
4%
Agosto
<1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
1%
Junio 95.5%
Julio 3.9%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 1.3%
Septiembre <1%
$383,059 Vol.
$383,059 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
96%
Julio
4%
Agosto
<1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline underpins the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for a June listing, following the company's May 20 S-1 filing with the SEC and reports of a targeted June 4 roadshow, June 11 pricing, and Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX. Faster-than-expected regulatory review and strong institutional demand for the record-sized offering, potentially valuing the firm above $1.5 trillion, have driven this positioning among traders. While the near-term catalyst path appears clear, realistic scenarios such as last-minute SEC comments, adverse market volatility, or shifts in underwriting schedules could still introduce modest delays into July.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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