SpaceX's May 20 SEC prospectus filing, following an April confidential submission and faster-than-expected regulatory review, has driven the 95.9% implied probability for a June IPO on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. The company has targeted a June 4 roadshow, June 11 pricing, and potential June 12 listing, aligning with trader consensus backed by real capital commitments. This timeline reflects strong institutional momentum amid a target valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion. While a smooth process appears likely, unexpected market volatility, extended bookbuilding, or last-minute regulatory hurdles could realistically delay the debut into July or later, though current developments make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 94.7%
Julio 4.1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 1.5%
Octubre <1%
$383,144 Vol.
$383,144 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
95%
Julio
4%
Agosto
<1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
1%
Junio 94.7%
Julio 4.1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 1.5%
Octubre <1%
$383,144 Vol.
$383,144 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
95%
Julio
4%
Agosto
<1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's May 20 SEC prospectus filing, following an April confidential submission and faster-than-expected regulatory review, has driven the 95.9% implied probability for a June IPO on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. The company has targeted a June 4 roadshow, June 11 pricing, and potential June 12 listing, aligning with trader consensus backed by real capital commitments. This timeline reflects strong institutional momentum amid a target valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion. While a smooth process appears likely, unexpected market volatility, extended bookbuilding, or last-minute regulatory hurdles could realistically delay the debut into July or later, though current developments make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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