SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 96%
Julio 3.8%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 1.5%
Octubre <1%
$383,051 Vol.
$383,051 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
96%
Julio
4%
Agosto
<1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
2%
Junio 96%
Julio 3.8%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 1.5%
Octubre <1%
$383,051 Vol.
$383,051 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
96%
Julio
4%
Agosto
<1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO process, including its public S-1 filing on May 20 and targets for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the 96% market-implied probability for a June listing. Faster-than-expected SEC review enabled an earlier roadshow starting around June 4 and pricing near June 11, with the offering sized at roughly $75 billion and a $1.75 trillion valuation that would rank among history’s largest. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed milestones and strong institutional demand signals, while scenarios such as roadshow delays, adverse market volatility, or last-minute regulatory hurdles represent the limited paths that could shift timing into July or beyond.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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