Recent accelerations in SpaceX’s IPO timeline, including a faster-than-expected SEC review and confidential filing in April, have positioned mid-June dates as the frontrunners in trader consensus. With June 12 carrying a 47.0% implied probability and nearby dates clustered between 38.0% and 45.6%, markets reflect tight competition among June 11–12 pricing, June 4 roadshow launch, and potential Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Institutional positioning favors early resolution given the company’s $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation target and ongoing Starlink revenue momentum, yet regulatory milestones and final prospectus timing keep later June outcomes competitive. Key catalysts include the planned roadshow start and any last-minute adjustments to share allocation or market conditions that could shift exact settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJune 12 47%
June 24 45.5%
June 29 45.3%
June 26 42.8%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
8%
June 4
8%
June 5
1%
June 8
1%
June 9
3%
June 10
3%
June 11
25%
June 12
47%
June 15
19%
June 16
16%
June 17
16%
June 18
22%
June 22
41%
June 23
-
June 24
45%
June 25
38%
June 26
43%
June 29
45%
June 30 or later
40%
June 12 47%
June 24 45.5%
June 29 45.3%
June 26 42.8%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
8%
June 4
8%
June 5
1%
June 8
1%
June 9
3%
June 10
3%
June 11
25%
June 12
47%
June 15
19%
June 16
16%
June 17
16%
June 18
22%
June 22
41%
June 23
-
June 24
45%
June 25
38%
June 26
43%
June 29
45%
June 30 or later
40%
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent accelerations in SpaceX’s IPO timeline, including a faster-than-expected SEC review and confidential filing in April, have positioned mid-June dates as the frontrunners in trader consensus. With June 12 carrying a 47.0% implied probability and nearby dates clustered between 38.0% and 45.6%, markets reflect tight competition among June 11–12 pricing, June 4 roadshow launch, and potential Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. Institutional positioning favors early resolution given the company’s $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation target and ongoing Starlink revenue momentum, yet regulatory milestones and final prospectus timing keep later June outcomes competitive. Key catalysts include the planned roadshow start and any last-minute adjustments to share allocation or market conditions that could shift exact settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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