Tarsier Pharma, a clinical-stage Israeli biotech developing steroid-free eye drop therapies for uveitis and related ocular conditions, filed for a modest NYSE American IPO targeting roughly $50 million in proceeds at an $8–10 per share range, implying a ~$294–299 million post-money valuation. However, the planned July 2026 pricing and listing did not occur amid the narrow window for small-cap biotechs, limited investor appetite for pre-revenue Phase 3 assets, and broader equity market conditions. With the August 31 cutoff approaching, traders have assigned a 99.4% implied probability to no IPO before September 2026, reflecting the absence of updated filings, roadshow activity, or revised terms. A sharp rebound in biotech sentiment, positive Tarsier-04 trial initiation data, or renewed underwriter support could still reopen the window in the final days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNo salida a bolsa antes de septiembre de 2026 99.4%
$250M-$300M 1.3%
$350M-$400M 1.3%
$400M-$450M 1.3%
$15,682 Vol.
$15,682 Vol.
<$250M
1%
$250M-$300M
1%
$300M-$350M
<1%
$350M-$400M
1%
$400M-$450M
1%
>$450M
<1%
No salida a bolsa antes de septiembre de 2026
99%
No salida a bolsa antes de septiembre de 2026 99.4%
$250M-$300M 1.3%
$350M-$400M 1.3%
$400M-$450M 1.3%
$15,682 Vol.
$15,682 Vol.
<$250M
1%
$250M-$300M
1%
$300M-$350M
<1%
$350M-$400M
1%
$400M-$450M
1%
>$450M
<1%
No salida a bolsa antes de septiembre de 2026
99%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 9 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 9 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarsier Pharma, a clinical-stage Israeli biotech developing steroid-free eye drop therapies for uveitis and related ocular conditions, filed for a modest NYSE American IPO targeting roughly $50 million in proceeds at an $8–10 per share range, implying a ~$294–299 million post-money valuation. However, the planned July 2026 pricing and listing did not occur amid the narrow window for small-cap biotechs, limited investor appetite for pre-revenue Phase 3 assets, and broader equity market conditions. With the August 31 cutoff approaching, traders have assigned a 99.4% implied probability to no IPO before September 2026, reflecting the absence of updated filings, roadshow activity, or revised terms. A sharp rebound in biotech sentiment, positive Tarsier-04 trial initiation data, or renewed underwriter support could still reopen the window in the final days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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