Trader consensus favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive growth, with 2025 operating income hitting $4.4 billion from 9–10 million subscribers at 63% EBITDA margins, offsets xAI's $6.4 billion losses while funding $20.7 billion in capex for Starship reusability and satellite deployments. Recent Starship V3/V4 milestones, including imminent test flights and 10-kiloton thrust targets, bolster competitive dominance in reusable launch vehicles and low-Earth orbit broadband. Elon Musk's dual-class voting control ensures strategic continuity amid regulatory reviews and roadshows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMás de 2,0 billones 62%
1,8T–2,0T 10%
1.6T–1.8T 8.6%
1.4T–1.6T 5.7%
$943,940 Vol.
$943,940 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
2%
<1,0T
4%
1.0T–1.2T
2%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1.4T–1.6T
6%
1.6T–1.8T
9%
1,8T–2,0T
10%
Más de 2,0 billones
62%
Más de 2,0 billones 62%
1,8T–2,0T 10%
1.6T–1.8T 8.6%
1.4T–1.6T 5.7%
$943,940 Vol.
$943,940 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$189,128 Vol.
2%
<1,0T
$75,295 Vol.
4%
1.0T–1.2T
$54,083 Vol.
2%
1,2T–1,4T
$71,488 Vol.
3%
1.4T–1.6T
$116,179 Vol.
6%
1.6T–1.8T
$119,181 Vol.
9%
1,8T–2,0T
$105,862 Vol.
10%
Más de 2,0 billones
$212,724 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive growth, with 2025 operating income hitting $4.4 billion from 9–10 million subscribers at 63% EBITDA margins, offsets xAI's $6.4 billion losses while funding $20.7 billion in capex for Starship reusability and satellite deployments. Recent Starship V3/V4 milestones, including imminent test flights and 10-kiloton thrust targets, bolster competitive dominance in reusable launch vehicles and low-Earth orbit broadband. Elon Musk's dual-class voting control ensures strategic continuity amid regulatory reviews and roadshows.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volumen
$943,940Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive growth, with 2025 operating income hitting $4.4 billion from 9–10 million subscribers at 63% EBITDA margins, offsets xAI's $6.4 billion losses while funding $20.7 billion in capex for Starship reusability and satellite deployments. Recent Starship V3/V4 milestones, including imminent test flights and 10-kiloton thrust targets, bolster competitive dominance in reusable launch vehicles and low-Earth orbit broadband. Elon Musk's dual-class voting control ensures strategic continuity amid regulatory reviews and roadshows.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$943,940Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion (62% implied probability), propelled by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June listing at $1.75–2 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive growth, with 2025 operating income hitting $4.4 billion from 9–10 million subscribers at 63% EBITDA margins, offsets xAI's $6.4 billion losses while funding $20.7 billion in capex for Starship reusability and satellite deployments. Recent Starship V3/V4 milestones, including imminent test flights and 10-kiloton thrust targets, bolster competitive dominance in reusable launch vehicles and low-Earth orbit broadband. Elon Musk's dual-class voting control ensures strategic continuity amid regulatory reviews and roadshows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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