NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed Orion flight test orbiting the Moon since Apollo 17, remains on track for a September 2025 launch from Kennedy Space Center atop the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket. Recent progress includes the Orion spacecraft's successful completion of acoustic and vibration testing in October 2024 at Kennedy, confirming structural integrity post-Artemis I heat shield review, while the SLS core stage arrived for final stacking. Crew members—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Jeremy Hansen, and Christina Koch—advanced simulations amid resolved battery and valve issues. Traders watch for potential slips from historical delays, with key catalysts like electromagnetic interference tests and launch rehearsals in early 2025; regulatory approvals and weather remain low-probability risks in trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$678,655 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 de marzo
<1%
30 de abril
76%
$678,655 Vol.
31 de marzo
$185,891 Vol.
<1%
30 de abril
$114,064 Vol.
76%
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed Orion flight test orbiting the Moon since Apollo 17, remains on track for a September 2025 launch from Kennedy Space Center atop the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket. Recent progress includes the Orion spacecraft's successful completion of acoustic and vibration testing in October 2024 at Kennedy, confirming structural integrity post-Artemis I heat shield review, while the SLS core stage arrived for final stacking. Crew members—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Jeremy Hansen, and Christina Koch—advanced simulations amid resolved battery and valve issues. Traders watch for potential slips from historical delays, with key catalysts like electromagnetic interference tests and launch rehearsals in early 2025; regulatory approvals and weather remain low-probability risks in trader consensus.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$678,655Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed Orion flight test orbiting the Moon since Apollo 17, remains on track for a September 2025 launch from Kennedy Space Center atop the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket. Recent progress includes the Orion spacecraft's successful completion of acoustic and vibration testing in October 2024 at Kennedy, confirming structural integrity post-Artemis I heat shield review, while the SLS core stage arrived for final stacking. Crew members—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Jeremy Hansen, and Christina Koch—advanced simulations amid resolved battery and valve issues. Traders watch for potential slips from historical delays, with key catalysts like electromagnetic interference tests and launch rehearsals in early 2025; regulatory approvals and weather remain low-probability risks in trader consensus.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volumen
$678,655Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed Orion flight test orbiting the Moon since Apollo 17, remains on track for a September 2025 launch from Kennedy Space Center atop the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket. Recent progress includes the Orion spacecraft's successful completion of acoustic and vibration testing in October 2024 at Kennedy, confirming structural integrity post-Artemis I heat shield review, while the SLS core stage arrived for final stacking. Crew members—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Jeremy Hansen, and Christina Koch—advanced simulations amid resolved battery and valve issues. Traders watch for potential slips from historical delays, with key catalysts like electromagnetic interference tests and launch rehearsals in early 2025; regulatory approvals and weather remain low-probability risks in trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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