Tesla predictions & odds

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Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Tesla

Elon Musk

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

28%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$32.7k Liq.

376

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

55%

$211k Vol.

$20.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

87%

Miami

$107k Vol.

$22.4k Liq.

7

Ends in 5 months

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Tesla

Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

60%

<350k

$196k Vol.

$18.8k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

23%

7

$77.8k Vol.

$24.0k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

21%

$7.0k Vol.

$12.6k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Tesla

Tech

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

6%

$34.0k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

16%

$1.4k Vol.

$961 Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months