Elon Musk predictions & odds

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Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Elon Musk

Business

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

6%

$2m Vol.

$337k today

$216k Liq.

77

Ends in 5 months

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

90%

No release by January 31

$552k Vol.

$72.3k today

$37.4k Liq.

13

Ends in 8 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

80%

1T+

$1m Vol.

$54.5k today

$135k Liq.

30

Ends in almost 2 years

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

25%

$STAR

$1m Vol.

$52.1k today

$48.1k Liq.

92

Ends in almost 2 years

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Elon Musk

Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

61%

<350k

$197k Vol.

$20.5k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

37%

5-6

$53.7k Vol.

$4.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

82%

>$1T

$235k Vol.

$46.3k Liq.

2

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Elon Musk

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Successful splash down?

$549k Vol.

$7.6k Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

Grok 4.20 released by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 4.20 released by...?

96%

April 20

$498k Vol.

$20.4k Liq.

110

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

90%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$43.5k Liq.

425

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Elon Musk

SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

57%

Morgan Stanley

$280k Vol.

$31.0k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk

Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

55%

$213k Vol.

$22.2k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

Elon Musk

Twitter

Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

45%

$8.1k Vol.

$8.9k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Elon Musk

Politics

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

51%

$47.7k Vol.

$5.6k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

Elon Musk

Culture

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

85%

670b+

$13.8k Vol.

$4.6k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

Business

Richest person on March 31?

98%

Elon Musk

$89.1k Vol.

$64.7k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?

Elon Musk

Celebrities

Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?

3%

$26.2k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

8

Ends in 8 days

Grok 5 released by...?

Elon Musk

AI

Grok 5 released by...?

11%

March 31, 2026

$175k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

27

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

Elon Musk

Celebrities

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

16%

$4.4k Vol.

$3.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?

Elon Musk

Twitter

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?

29%

$8.2k Vol.

$850 Liq.

Ends in 8 days