Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

NEW

$21,086 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$21,086 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$13,016 Vol.

1%

April 30

$7,761 Vol.

28%

30 de junio

$310 Vol.

45%

A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A massive data leak from Anthropic on March 27 revealed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased large language model described as the company's most powerful yet, representing a step change in capabilities for coding, cybersecurity analysis, and academic reasoning—outpacing current Opus models. Anthropic confirmed early testing with select customers, prioritizing cyber defenders due to heightened risks like advanced exploit generation, but no public release or official announcement has occurred. Trader sentiment hinges on this skin-in-the-game consensus, with competitive pressure from OpenAI and xAI intensifying; watch for safety evaluations or developer previews in coming weeks that could trigger a formal rollout or delays amid regulatory scrutiny.

A massive data leak from Anthropic on March 27 revealed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased large language model described as the company's most powerful yet, representing a step change in capabilities for coding, cybersecurity analysis, and academic reasoning—outpacing current Opus models. Anthropic confirmed early testing with select customers, prioritizing cyber defenders due to heightened risks like advanced exploit generation, but no public release or official announcement has occurred. Trader sentiment hinges on this skin-in-the-game consensus, with competitive pressure from OpenAI and xAI intensifying; watch for safety evaluations or developer previews in coming weeks that could trigger a formal rollout or delays amid regulatory scrutiny.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A massive data leak from Anthropic on March 27 revealed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased large language model described as the company's most powerful yet, representing a step change in capabilities for coding, cybersecurity analysis, and academic reasoning—outpacing current Opus models. Anthropic confirmed early testing with select customers, prioritizing cyber defenders due to heightened risks like advanced exploit generation, but no public release or official announcement has occurred. Trader sentiment hinges on this skin-in-the-game consensus, with competitive pressure from OpenAI and xAI intensifying; watch for safety evaluations or developer previews in coming weeks that could trigger a formal rollout or delays amid regulatory scrutiny.

A massive data leak from Anthropic on March 27 revealed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased large language model described as the company's most powerful yet, representing a step change in capabilities for coding, cybersecurity analysis, and academic reasoning—outpacing current Opus models. Anthropic confirmed early testing with select customers, prioritizing cyber defenders due to heightened risks like advanced exploit generation, but no public release or official announcement has occurred. Trader sentiment hinges on this skin-in-the-game consensus, with competitive pressure from OpenAI and xAI intensifying; watch for safety evaluations or developer previews in coming weeks that could trigger a formal rollout or delays amid regulatory scrutiny.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Claude Mythos released by…?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 45%, seguido de "April 30" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Claude Mythos released by…?" ha generado $21.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Claude Mythos released by…?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Claude Mythos released by…?" es "30 de junio" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "April 30" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Claude Mythos released by…?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.