A massive data leak from Anthropic on March 27 revealed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased large language model described as the company's most powerful yet, representing a step change in capabilities for coding, cybersecurity analysis, and academic reasoning—outpacing current Opus models. Anthropic confirmed early testing with select customers, prioritizing cyber defenders due to heightened risks like advanced exploit generation, but no public release or official announcement has occurred. Trader sentiment hinges on this skin-in-the-game consensus, with competitive pressure from OpenAI and xAI intensifying; watch for safety evaluations or developer previews in coming weeks that could trigger a formal rollout or delays amid regulatory scrutiny.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$21,086 Vol.
March 31
1%
April 30
28%
30 de junio
45%
$21,086 Vol.
March 31
1%
April 30
28%
30 de junio
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A massive data leak from Anthropic on March 27 revealed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased large language model described as the company's most powerful yet, representing a step change in capabilities for coding, cybersecurity analysis, and academic reasoning—outpacing current Opus models. Anthropic confirmed early testing with select customers, prioritizing cyber defenders due to heightened risks like advanced exploit generation, but no public release or official announcement has occurred. Trader sentiment hinges on this skin-in-the-game consensus, with competitive pressure from OpenAI and xAI intensifying; watch for safety evaluations or developer previews in coming weeks that could trigger a formal rollout or delays amid regulatory scrutiny.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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