Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 100% implied probability of owning the top math AI model as of April 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominant performance on the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard—where it holds the #1 rank via crowd-sourced reasoning battles on style-control-off evaluations. Released April 16, this large language model surged ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, excelling on benchmarks like AIME (96.25%) through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and symbolic manipulation. No rival releases have shifted rankings in the past two weeks, cementing trader confidence. Realistic challenges include a surprise model drop or leaderboard recalculation before the noon ET resolution snapshot, though proximity to deadline minimizes risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de IA matemática a finales de abril?
¿Qué empresa tiene el mejor modelo de IA matemática a finales de abril?
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$564,590 Vol.
$564,590 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
Sí
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
DeepSeek
No
Amazon
No
Z.ai
No
Xiaomi
No
ByteDance
No
Meituan
No
No
Alibaba
No
Baidu
No
Moonshot
No
Mistral
No
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$564,590 Vol.
$564,590 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
$269,923 Vol.
Sí
OpenAI
$194,916 Vol.
No
xAI
$7,032 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$35,040 Vol.
No
Amazon
$754 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$4,074 Vol.
No
Xiaomi
$1,682 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$1,932 Vol.
No
Meituan
$1,805 Vol.
No
$31,681 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$2,493 Vol.
No
Baidu
$2,098 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$9,546 Vol.
No
Mistral
$1,613 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 100% implied probability of owning the top math AI model as of April 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominant performance on the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard—where it holds the #1 rank via crowd-sourced reasoning battles on style-control-off evaluations. Released April 16, this large language model surged ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, excelling on benchmarks like AIME (96.25%) through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and symbolic manipulation. No rival releases have shifted rankings in the past two weeks, cementing trader confidence. Realistic challenges include a surprise model drop or leaderboard recalculation before the noon ET resolution snapshot, though proximity to deadline minimizes risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volumen
$564,590Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 100% implied probability of owning the top math AI model as of April 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominant performance on the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard—where it holds the #1 rank via crowd-sourced reasoning battles on style-control-off evaluations. Released April 16, this large language model surged ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, excelling on benchmarks like AIME (96.25%) through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and symbolic manipulation. No rival releases have shifted rankings in the past two weeks, cementing trader confidence. Realistic challenges include a surprise model drop or leaderboard recalculation before the noon ET resolution snapshot, though proximity to deadline minimizes risks.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$564,590Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 100% implied probability of owning the top math AI model as of April 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's dominant performance on the Arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard—where it holds the #1 rank via crowd-sourced reasoning battles on style-control-off evaluations. Released April 16, this large language model surged ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.4 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, excelling on benchmarks like AIME (96.25%) through superior chain-of-thought reasoning and symbolic manipulation. No rival releases have shifted rankings in the past two weeks, cementing trader confidence. Realistic challenges include a surprise model drop or leaderboard recalculation before the noon ET resolution snapshot, though proximity to deadline minimizes risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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