Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability for Apple to remain the third-largest company by market capitalization at April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.97 trillion valuation sandwiched between NVIDIA's dominant $4.90 trillion lead and Alphabet's narrow $4.11 trillion edge—a $134 billion gap narrowed by Apple's recent share price gains amid robust iPhone demand in China. Alphabet carries 20.5% odds as the chief contender, positioned to slip to third should Apple overtake it in the final trading days, while Microsoft at 0.6% faces steep hurdles from its $829 billion deficit. With NVIDIA's AI-driven momentum stabilizing the top spot, low-volume month-end dynamics and absence of major earnings catalysts reinforce the status quo, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game efficiency.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoApple 78%
Alphabet 21%
Microsoft <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$913,177 Vol.
$913,177 Vol.
Apple
78%
Alphabet
21%
Microsoft
1%
NVIDIA
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Oracle
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Apple 78%
Alphabet 21%
Microsoft <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$913,177 Vol.
$913,177 Vol.
Apple
78%
Alphabet
21%
Microsoft
1%
NVIDIA
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Oracle
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability for Apple to remain the third-largest company by market capitalization at April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.97 trillion valuation sandwiched between NVIDIA's dominant $4.90 trillion lead and Alphabet's narrow $4.11 trillion edge—a $134 billion gap narrowed by Apple's recent share price gains amid robust iPhone demand in China. Alphabet carries 20.5% odds as the chief contender, positioned to slip to third should Apple overtake it in the final trading days, while Microsoft at 0.6% faces steep hurdles from its $829 billion deficit. With NVIDIA's AI-driven momentum stabilizing the top spot, low-volume month-end dynamics and absence of major earnings catalysts reinforce the status quo, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game efficiency.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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