Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30, 2026, driven by CEO Sam Altman's recent tease of the "Spud" model—rumored as GPT-5.5—as a major leap equivalent to two years of research and a step toward AGI, with pre-training now complete after redirecting compute from Sora. This follows rapid iterations like GPT-5.4 and its variants in March, showcasing OpenAI's accelerated large language model cadence amid competition from Anthropic's Claude 5 and DeepSeek's advances. Traders eye potential announcements in coming weeks, though historical delays and safety evaluations could push timelines; resolution hinges on official model naming and public availability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$300,921 Vol.
15 abr 2026
15 de abril
22%
30 de abril
43%
30 de junio
93%
$300,921 Vol.
15 de abril
$5,774 Vol.
22%
30 de abril
$126,314 Vol.
43%
30 de junio
$168,833 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30, 2026, driven by CEO Sam Altman's recent tease of the "Spud" model—rumored as GPT-5.5—as a major leap equivalent to two years of research and a step toward AGI, with pre-training now complete after redirecting compute from Sora. This follows rapid iterations like GPT-5.4 and its variants in March, showcasing OpenAI's accelerated large language model cadence amid competition from Anthropic's Claude 5 and DeepSeek's advances. Traders eye potential announcements in coming weeks, though historical delays and safety evaluations could push timelines; resolution hinges on official model naming and public availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Volumen
$300,921Mercado abierto
Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30, 2026, driven by CEO Sam Altman's recent tease of the "Spud" model—rumored as GPT-5.5—as a major leap equivalent to two years of research and a step toward AGI, with pre-training now complete after redirecting compute from Sora. This follows rapid iterations like GPT-5.4 and its variants in March, showcasing OpenAI's accelerated large language model cadence amid competition from Anthropic's Claude 5 and DeepSeek's advances. Traders eye potential announcements in coming weeks, though historical delays and safety evaluations could push timelines; resolution hinges on official model naming and public availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$300,921Mercado abierto
Mar 12, 2026, 3:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to OpenAI releasing GPT-5.5 by June 30, 2026, driven by CEO Sam Altman's recent tease of the "Spud" model—rumored as GPT-5.5—as a major leap equivalent to two years of research and a step toward AGI, with pre-training now complete after redirecting compute from Sora. This follows rapid iterations like GPT-5.4 and its variants in March, showcasing OpenAI's accelerated large language model cadence amid competition from Anthropic's Claude 5 and DeepSeek's advances. Traders eye potential announcements in coming weeks, though historical delays and safety evaluations could push timelines; resolution hinges on official model naming and public availability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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