Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to Apple (48.5%) and Alphabet (47.5%) for third-largest company by market cap at March's end, reflecting Nvidia's explosive AI-fueled rally—up over 200% year-to-date—threatening to eclipse Apple's second-place position behind Microsoft. Apple's lead has eroded amid iPhone sales weakness in China and EU antitrust scrutiny, shrinking its cap to $2.68 trillion versus Nvidia's $2.32 trillion as of March 29, while Alphabet's $2.22 trillion cap benefits from robust ad revenue and Google Cloud growth. Negligible odds for others underscore capital concentration on this tight race, with final trading days' volatility pivotal for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoApple 49%
Alphabet 48%
Microsoft <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$788,696 Vol.
$788,696 Vol.

Apple
49%

Alphabet
48%

Microsoft
1%

NVIDIA
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Oracle
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%
Apple 49%
Alphabet 48%
Microsoft <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$788,696 Vol.
$788,696 Vol.

Apple
49%

Alphabet
48%

Microsoft
1%

NVIDIA
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Oracle
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-even implied probabilities to Apple (48.5%) and Alphabet (47.5%) for third-largest company by market cap at March's end, reflecting Nvidia's explosive AI-fueled rally—up over 200% year-to-date—threatening to eclipse Apple's second-place position behind Microsoft. Apple's lead has eroded amid iPhone sales weakness in China and EU antitrust scrutiny, shrinking its cap to $2.68 trillion versus Nvidia's $2.32 trillion as of March 29, while Alphabet's $2.22 trillion cap benefits from robust ad revenue and Google Cloud growth. Negligible odds for others underscore capital concentration on this tight race, with final trading days' volatility pivotal for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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