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Tech·IA

¿Qué empresa tendrá el mejor modelo de IA para matemáticas el 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Tech·IA

¿Qué empresa tendrá el mejor modelo de IA para matemáticas el 31 de marzo?

Mar 31

Mar 31

OpenAI 99.4%

xAI <1%

Google <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$474,205 Vol.

OpenAI 99.4%

xAI <1%

Google <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$474,205 Vol.

Market icon

OpenAI

$58,672 Vol.

99%

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xAI

$66,258 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Google

$128,999 Vol.

<1%

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DeepSeek

$74,077 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Anthropic

$58,836 Vol.

<1%

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Z.ai

$24,738 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$31,587 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$31,038 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro commands a 99.4% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by its unchallenged dominance on math benchmarks like MATH-500 and FrontierMath. As of March 26, the model tops the Mathematics Leaderboard at 99.0%, outpacing DeepSeek V3.2's 96.7%, with recent feats including solving an open research problem on FrontierMath—verified by Epoch AI—bolstering its edge in advanced reasoning. This skin-in-the-game sentiment stems from OpenAI's rapid iteration on reasoning-focused large language models, leaving competitors like Anthropic and Google trailing. Realistic challenges include a surprise pre-March 31 release surpassing these scores, though tight timelines and historical launch patterns make such shifts improbable absent major announcements.

OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro commands a 99.4% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by its unchallenged dominance on math benchmarks like MATH-500 and FrontierMath. As of March 26, the model tops the Mathematics Leaderboard at 99.0%, outpacing DeepSeek V3.2's 96.7%, with recent feats including solving an open research problem on FrontierMath—verified by Epoch AI—bolstering its edge in advanced reasoning. This skin-in-the-game sentiment stems from OpenAI's rapid iteration on reasoning-focused large language models, leaving competitors like Anthropic and Google trailing. Realistic challenges include a surprise pre-March 31 release surpassing these scores, though tight timelines and historical launch patterns make such shifts improbable absent major announcements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro commands a 99.4% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by its unchallenged dominance on math benchmarks like MATH-500 and FrontierMath. As of March 26, the model tops the Mathematics Leaderboard at 99.0%, outpacing DeepSeek V3.2's 96.7%, with recent feats including solving an open research problem on FrontierMath—verified by Epoch AI—bolstering its edge in advanced reasoning. This skin-in-the-game sentiment stems from OpenAI's rapid iteration on reasoning-focused large language models, leaving competitors like Anthropic and Google trailing. Realistic challenges include a surprise pre-March 31 release surpassing these scores, though tight timelines and historical launch patterns make such shifts improbable absent major announcements.

OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro commands a 99.4% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus driven by its unchallenged dominance on math benchmarks like MATH-500 and FrontierMath. As of March 26, the model tops the Mathematics Leaderboard at 99.0%, outpacing DeepSeek V3.2's 96.7%, with recent feats including solving an open research problem on FrontierMath—verified by Epoch AI—bolstering its edge in advanced reasoning. This skin-in-the-game sentiment stems from OpenAI's rapid iteration on reasoning-focused large language models, leaving competitors like Anthropic and Google trailing. Realistic challenges include a surprise pre-March 31 release surpassing these scores, though tight timelines and historical launch patterns make such shifts improbable absent major announcements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué empresa tendrá el mejor modelo de IA para matemáticas el 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "OpenAI" con 99%, seguido de "xAI" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué empresa tendrá el mejor modelo de IA para matemáticas el 31 de marzo?" ha generado $474.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué empresa tendrá el mejor modelo de IA para matemáticas el 31 de marzo?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué empresa tendrá el mejor modelo de IA para matemáticas el 31 de marzo?" es "OpenAI" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "xAI" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué empresa tendrá el mejor modelo de IA para matemáticas el 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.