Trader sentiment crowns Anthropic (54.5%) as the frontrunner for the #2 AI model on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with Style Control enabled by April 30, propelled by Claude 3 Opus and Sonnet's persistent dominance in mid-April rankings, where they outpace rivals in nuanced style adherence and reasoning benchmarks. Google (31%) trails closely on Gemini 1.5 Pro's efficiency gains, while xAI (30%) surges via Grok-1.5's real-time data edge; Chinese labs like Moonshot (29%), ByteDance (28%), and Alibaba (27.5%) vie aggressively with scaled open-weights models such as Kimi and Qwen. Absent confirmed end-April launches, recent leaderboard volatility and benchmark tweaks fuel tight odds, with traders eyeing snapshot criteria for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAnthropic 55%
Google 31%
xAI 30%
ByteDance 28%

Anthropic
55%

31%

xAI
30%

ByteDance
28%

OpenAI
27%

Meituan
27%

Moonshot
27%

Alibaba
26%

DeepSeek
26%

Mistral
26%

Baidu
26%

Z.ai
26%

Amazon
25%
Anthropic 55%
Google 31%
xAI 30%
ByteDance 28%

Anthropic
55%

31%

xAI
30%

ByteDance
28%

OpenAI
27%

Meituan
27%

Moonshot
27%

Alibaba
26%

DeepSeek
26%

Mistral
26%

Baidu
26%

Z.ai
26%

Amazon
25%
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment crowns Anthropic (54.5%) as the frontrunner for the #2 AI model on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with Style Control enabled by April 30, propelled by Claude 3 Opus and Sonnet's persistent dominance in mid-April rankings, where they outpace rivals in nuanced style adherence and reasoning benchmarks. Google (31%) trails closely on Gemini 1.5 Pro's efficiency gains, while xAI (30%) surges via Grok-1.5's real-time data edge; Chinese labs like Moonshot (29%), ByteDance (28%), and Alibaba (27.5%) vie aggressively with scaled open-weights models such as Kimi and Qwen. Absent confirmed end-April launches, recent leaderboard volatility and benchmark tweaks fuel tight odds, with traders eyeing snapshot criteria for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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