Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible criminal investigation, charges, or DOJ actions against him despite a heated civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions peaked in late February 2026 when Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth designated Anthropic a supply chain risk after Amodei refused AI applications like mass surveillance, prompting lawsuits; a federal judge blocked the ban on March 27 as illegal retaliation, though the DOJ appealed. With no procedural developments toward indictment and the conflict confined to contracts and policy red lines, traders see negligible arrest risk barring unforeseen scandals, national security probes, or escalated legal findings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$145,864 Vol.
$145,864 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$145,864 Vol.
$145,864 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible criminal investigation, charges, or DOJ actions against him despite a heated civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions peaked in late February 2026 when Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth designated Anthropic a supply chain risk after Amodei refused AI applications like mass surveillance, prompting lawsuits; a federal judge blocked the ban on March 27 as illegal retaliation, though the DOJ appealed. With no procedural developments toward indictment and the conflict confined to contracts and policy red lines, traders see negligible arrest risk barring unforeseen scandals, national security probes, or escalated legal findings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$145,864Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible criminal investigation, charges, or DOJ actions against him despite a heated civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions peaked in late February 2026 when Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth designated Anthropic a supply chain risk after Amodei refused AI applications like mass surveillance, prompting lawsuits; a federal judge blocked the ban on March 27 as illegal retaliation, though the DOJ appealed. With no procedural developments toward indictment and the conflict confined to contracts and policy red lines, traders see negligible arrest risk barring unforeseen scandals, national security probes, or escalated legal findings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$145,864Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any credible criminal investigation, charges, or DOJ actions against him despite a heated civil dispute with the Pentagon. Tensions peaked in late February 2026 when Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth designated Anthropic a supply chain risk after Amodei refused AI applications like mass surveillance, prompting lawsuits; a federal judge blocked the ban on March 27 as illegal retaliation, though the DOJ appealed. With no procedural developments toward indictment and the conflict confined to contracts and policy red lines, traders see negligible arrest risk barring unforeseen scandals, national security probes, or escalated legal findings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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