Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-280 total posts by Elon Musk from April 3-10, with 240-259 and 260-279 bins deadlocked at 15.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his steady recent cadence of 30-40 daily X posts amid AI advancements like Grok Imagine's "Quality Mode" rollout and tech discourse with figures like Jack Dorsey. This baseline stems from March's ~1,300-post month and consistent engagement on company updates, politics, and memes, without major spikes or lulls in the past week. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily variance: viral controversies or Tesla/SpaceX announcements could propel toward 300+, while focused business travel might cap below 240; monitor early-week post velocity and public sentiment surges for momentum shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado240-259 16%
260-279 16%
280-299 13%
220-239 12%
$814,941 Vol.
$814,941 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
12%
240-259
16%
260-279
16%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
6%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 16%
260-279 16%
280-299 13%
220-239 12%
$814,941 Vol.
$814,941 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
12%
240-259
16%
260-279
16%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
6%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-280 total posts by Elon Musk from April 3-10, with 240-259 and 260-279 bins deadlocked at 15.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting his steady recent cadence of 30-40 daily X posts amid AI advancements like Grok Imagine's "Quality Mode" rollout and tech discourse with figures like Jack Dorsey. This baseline stems from March's ~1,300-post month and consistent engagement on company updates, politics, and memes, without major spikes or lulls in the past week. Competitive dynamics hinge on daily variance: viral controversies or Tesla/SpaceX announcements could propel toward 300+, while focused business travel might cap below 240; monitor early-week post velocity and public sentiment surges for momentum shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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