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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Harris Dickinson 10.5%

Jack Lowdon 6.1%

Jacob Elordi 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Callum Turner 43%

Harris Dickinson 10.5%

Jack Lowdon 6.1%

Jacob Elordi 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Callum Turner

$163 Vol.

36%

Harris Dickinson

$123 Vol.

6%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Vol.

6%

Jacob Elordi

$163 Vol.

6%

No Bond chosen

$107 Vol.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$364 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 Vol.

4%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

4%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$178 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$95 Vol.

3%

James Norton

$124 Vol.

6%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner leads the market at 36.5% implied probability as the frontrunner, fueled by George Clooney’s public endorsement, his recent marriage to Dua Lipa, and momentum from high-profile roles in *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in May 2026 that casting director Nina Gold has begun auditions for the Denis Villeneuve-directed installment, narrowing focus on established British actors who match the franchise’s profile. Lower odds on Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson reflect scattered speculation without comparable recent catalysts or endorsements. Traders view the active search as increasing the chance of a selection, though Turner’s coy comments in recent interviews underscore the unpredictable nature of final studio decisions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,681
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner leads the market at 36.5% implied probability as the frontrunner, fueled by George Clooney’s public endorsement, his recent marriage to Dua Lipa, and momentum from high-profile roles in *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in May 2026 that casting director Nina Gold has begun auditions for the Denis Villeneuve-directed installment, narrowing focus on established British actors who match the franchise’s profile. Lower odds on Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson reflect scattered speculation without comparable recent catalysts or endorsements. Traders view the active search as increasing the chance of a selection, though Turner’s coy comments in recent interviews underscore the unpredictable nature of final studio decisions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,681
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next James Bond actor?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Callum Turner" con 36%, seguido de "Harris Dickinson" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Next James Bond actor?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Next James Bond actor?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next James Bond actor?" es "Callum Turner" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Harris Dickinson" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next James Bond actor?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.