Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen 20.9%
Callum Turner 16%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 15.2%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,033 Vol.
$17,033 Vol.
No Bond chosen
23%
Callum Turner
27%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
15%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Jack Lowdon
23%
Tom Holland
4%
James Norton
23%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Henry Cavill
18%
Pierce Brosnan
19%
Robert James-Collier
46%
Timothee Chalamet
30%
Paul Mescal
47%
Harris Dickinson
28%
Theo James
42%
Michael B Jordan
38%
No Bond chosen 20.9%
Callum Turner 16%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 15.2%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,033 Vol.
$17,033 Vol.
No Bond chosen
23%
Callum Turner
27%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
15%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Jack Lowdon
23%
Tom Holland
4%
James Norton
23%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Henry Cavill
18%
Pierce Brosnan
19%
Robert James-Collier
46%
Timothee Chalamet
30%
Paul Mescal
47%
Harris Dickinson
28%
Theo James
42%
Michael B Jordan
38%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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