Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 39%
No Bond chosen 20.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 15.2%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,131 Vol.
$17,131 Vol.
Callum Turner
31%
No Bond chosen
23%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
15%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Jack Lowdon
26%
Tom Holland
3%
James Norton
22%
Harris Dickinson
23%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
23%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
24%
Michael B Jordan
22%
Robert James-Collier
27%
Paul Mescal
29%
Theo James
27%
Callum Turner 39%
No Bond chosen 20.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 15.2%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,131 Vol.
$17,131 Vol.
Callum Turner
31%
No Bond chosen
23%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
15%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Jack Lowdon
26%
Tom Holland
3%
James Norton
22%
Harris Dickinson
23%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
23%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
24%
Michael B Jordan
22%
Robert James-Collier
27%
Paul Mescal
29%
Theo James
27%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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