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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 10%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 7.0%

Tom Holland 6.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 10%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 7.0%

Tom Holland 6.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Callum Turner

$140 Vol.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Vol.

10%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$304 Vol.

7%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

7%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Vol.

6%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

6%

No Bond chosen

$96 Vol.

6%

James Norton

$90 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Vol.

4%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$171 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$104 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official confirmation in May 2026 that Amazon MGM Studios and casting director Nina Gold have begun auditioning candidates for the next James Bond has anchored trader sentiment around a younger British actor to align with Denis Villeneuve’s vision for a fresh 007. Callum Turner leads at 35% implied probability thanks to his sustained frontrunner status from prior industry chatter, polished screen presence in prestige projects, and perceived fit for a modern yet classically charming take. Other contenders like James Norton and Jacob Elordi sit in the low double digits amid reports of multiple tests and a push for relatively unknown talent, while the 6% chance of no selection reflects the early-stage timeline before any firm shortlist emerges. Upcoming audition updates and Villeneuve’s post-Dune schedule remain key swing factors in this wide-open race.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,973
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official confirmation in May 2026 that Amazon MGM Studios and casting director Nina Gold have begun auditioning candidates for the next James Bond has anchored trader sentiment around a younger British actor to align with Denis Villeneuve’s vision for a fresh 007. Callum Turner leads at 35% implied probability thanks to his sustained frontrunner status from prior industry chatter, polished screen presence in prestige projects, and perceived fit for a modern yet classically charming take. Other contenders like James Norton and Jacob Elordi sit in the low double digits amid reports of multiple tests and a push for relatively unknown talent, while the 6% chance of no selection reflects the early-stage timeline before any firm shortlist emerges. Upcoming audition updates and Villeneuve’s post-Dune schedule remain key swing factors in this wide-open race.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,973
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next James Bond actor?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Callum Turner" con 35%, seguido de "Jacob Elordi" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Next James Bond actor?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Next James Bond actor?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next James Bond actor?" es "Callum Turner" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jacob Elordi" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next James Bond actor?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.