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Política·Tweet Markets

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Market icon
Política·Tweet Markets

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

20-39 50%

40-59 44%

<20 42%

100-119 41%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 50%

40-59 44%

<20 42%

100-119 41%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$0 Vol.

42%

20-39

$0 Vol.

50%

40-59

$0 Vol.

44%

60-79

$0 Vol.

40%

80-99

$0 Vol.

40%

100-119

$20 Vol.

41%

120-139

$20 Vol.

41%

140-159

$20 Vol.

41%

160-179

$20 Vol.

39%

180-199

$20 Vol.

39%

200+

$20 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-59 times on X (@NYCMayor) during March 31-April 7 at roughly even odds between 20-39 (59.5%) and 40-59 (54.5%), mirroring his consistent 20-39 posts from the prior week (March 20-27 market resolution) amid steady announcements on public safety, infrastructure fixes like Brooklyn Bridge bike lanes, and community events. The tight race stems from a recent uptick—multiple posts on March 27 addressing church vandalism, a thwarted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani, and the "Mayor’s Municipal Madness" contest—suggesting potential for event-driven spikes above historical 3-5 daily averages. Lower bins like <20 (52%) reflect risks of quieter periods, while Easter Sunday (April 5) or breaking news on airport incidents, ICE deployments, or City Council special election prep could push toward higher ranges and create separation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-59 times on X (@NYCMayor) during March 31-April 7 at roughly even odds between 20-39 (59.5%) and 40-59 (54.5%), mirroring his consistent 20-39 posts from the prior week (March 20-27 market resolution) amid steady announcements on public safety, infrastructure fixes like Brooklyn Bridge bike lanes, and community events. The tight race stems from a recent uptick—multiple posts on March 27 addressing church vandalism, a thwarted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani, and the "Mayor’s Municipal Madness" contest—suggesting potential for event-driven spikes above historical 3-5 daily averages. Lower bins like <20 (52%) reflect risks of quieter periods, while Easter Sunday (April 5) or breaking news on airport incidents, ICE deployments, or City Council special election prep could push toward higher ranges and create separation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-59 times on X (@NYCMayor) during March 31-April 7 at roughly even odds between 20-39 (59.5%) and 40-59 (54.5%), mirroring his consistent 20-39 posts from the prior week (March 20-27 market resolution) amid steady announcements on public safety, infrastructure fixes like Brooklyn Bridge bike lanes, and community events. The tight race stems from a recent uptick—multiple posts on March 27 addressing church vandalism, a thwarted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani, and the "Mayor’s Municipal Madness" contest—suggesting potential for event-driven spikes above historical 3-5 daily averages. Lower bins like <20 (52%) reflect risks of quieter periods, while Easter Sunday (April 5) or breaking news on airport incidents, ICE deployments, or City Council special election prep could push toward higher ranges and create separation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani posting 20-59 times on X (@NYCMayor) during March 31-April 7 at roughly even odds between 20-39 (59.5%) and 40-59 (54.5%), mirroring his consistent 20-39 posts from the prior week (March 20-27 market resolution) amid steady announcements on public safety, infrastructure fixes like Brooklyn Bridge bike lanes, and community events. The tight race stems from a recent uptick—multiple posts on March 27 addressing church vandalism, a thwarted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani, and the "Mayor’s Municipal Madness" contest—suggesting potential for event-driven spikes above historical 3-5 daily averages. Lower bins like <20 (52%) reflect risks of quieter periods, while Easter Sunday (April 5) or breaking news on airport incidents, ICE deployments, or City Council special election prep could push toward higher ranges and create separation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20-39" con 50%, seguido de "40-59" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" es "20-39" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "40-59" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.